Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown?
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Historial de probabilidades
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Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.
Reglas de resolución
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Starship upper stage for the 14th Starship-SuperHeavy test flight achieves a controlled splashdown in the ocean. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If SpaceX attempts to catch the Starship upper stage using the Orbital Launch Tower’s chopsticks instead of attempting an ocean splashdown, this market will resolve to “No.” This market pertains to the 14th Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the 14th Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the 14th launch, and this market will stay open until the 14th launch has occurred. If the 14th launch has not occurred by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. A splashdown will be considered controlled if the Starship upper stage successfully re-enters Earth's atmosphere, remains intact during descent, and enters the water without breaking apart or exploding upon impact. The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
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Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Starship upper stage for the 14th Starship-SuperHeavy test flight achieves a controlled splashdown in the ocean. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If SpaceX attempts to catch the Starship upper stage using the Orbital Launch Tower’s chopsticks instead of attempting an ocean splashdown, this market will resolve to “No.” This market pertains to the 14th Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the 14th Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the 14th launch, and this market will stay open until the 14th launch has occurred. If the 14th launch has not occurred by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. A splashdown will be considered controlled if the Starship upper stage successfully re-enters Earth's atmosphere, remains intact during descent, and enters the water without breaking apart or exploding upon impact. The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
35 titulares · 0 comentarios · leído 27 sept, 20:56 UTC
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Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Starship upper stage for the 14th Starship-SuperHeavy test flight achieves a controlled splashdown in the ocean. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If SpaceX attempts to catch the Starship upper stage using the Orbital Launch Tower’s chopsticks instead of attempting an ocean splashdown, this market will resolve to “No.” This market pertains to the 14th Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the 14th Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the 14th launch, and this market will stay open until the 14th launch has occurred. If the 14th launch has not occurred by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. A splashdown will be considered controlled if the Starship upper stage successfully re-enters Earth's atmosphere, remains intact during descent, and enters the water without breaking apart or exploding upon impact. The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
leído 28 sept, 16:58 UTC
Otras variantes de este evento
Una variante leída sola engaña; las demás están al lado.| Mercado | Plataforma | Precio | Estado |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode? | Polymarket | 100 % Yes | Abierto |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Abierto |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Abierto |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Abierto |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 29? | Polymarket | 100 % Yes | Abierto |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 28? | Polymarket | 100 % Yes | Abierto |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? | Polymarket | 100 % Yes | Abierto |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31? | Polymarket | 100 % Yes | Abierto |
Actividad en la plataforma
Leído de la plataforma hace 3 díasMejor compra 11 % · mejor venta 13 %
Mayores titulares
- Chayzon8685172488599887641558605034096559614195332333911555085651956711404289322924
- Devoted-Route100135669156582877816282283490121673978500586727157927147777973109985633294858
- Webwaffle4208685172488599887641558605034096559614195332333911555085651956711404289322924
- Rr55100135669156582877816282283490121673978500586727157927147777973109985633294858
- Haradwaith100135669156582877816282283490121673978500586727157927147777973109985633294858
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A las 30 sept, 17:40 UTC