Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?
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Historial de probabilidades
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Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.
Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.
Reglas de resolución
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for any of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems, or otherwise officially declares any of these problems solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying declaration by CMI that one of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems has been solved, regardless of whether the solution takes the form of a positive proof, counterexample, disproof, or any other resolution accepted by CMI. A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that a problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered. A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.
Otras variantes de este evento
Una variante leída sola engaña; las demás están al lado.| Mercado | Plataforma | Precio | Estado |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 97 % No | Abierto |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? | Polymarket | 62 % No | Abierto |
Actividad en la plataforma
Leído de la plataforma ayerMejor compra 12 % · mejor venta 13 %
Mayores titulares
- yen4u66552465440224598691451639706989865863754158785947081762251605193864519800044
- DualDelta13434683105110406557450572647987803375932624503690314665359956597968387516554
- whig66552465440224598691451639706989865863754158785947081762251605193864519800044
- Hard-Boat13434683105110406557450572647987803375932624503690314665359956597968387516554
- wqujvj13434683105110406557450572647987803375932624503690314665359956597968387516554
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Debate en Predxy
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15 comentarios
Del hilo propio de Polymarket- WhaleWatch-78942 · hace 23 días
0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C29 has a $12,514.07 position on December 31, 2026 with outcome No. They're already up $629.20 on this trade through holding their position. When someone's betting big and winning, it's worth paying attention.
- yen4u · hace 23 días
I just lost all my money FUCK!!!!!
- lamyk · hace 24 días
idiot
- lamyk · hace 24 días
why you being a negative nancy? it will.
- werfjirvgieh · hace 24 días
Nope
- JillBiden · hace 24 días
CMI has a minimum 2-year review period before a solution can even be considered for the prize, and the only precedent took ~7 years from proof to award, 2026 has zero chance.
- Jesetrading · hace 24 días
🤫🤫🤫🤫
- Gregarious-Legislation · hace 24 días
Why would you hold this shit for 2 years for 20%
- yen4u · hace 24 días
Navier strokin my dick right now I got lotion on my dick
- lamyk · hace 24 días
navier stokes solution published EOW
- svuxvwhxbxb · hace 27 días
2028 YES at 51% seems too high. CMI requires a qualifying publication, then at least 2 years of examination and general acceptance before it even begins detailed consideration. After that, there is still a separate expert committee review. A new 2026 proof could be completely correct and still easily miss the 2028 deadline.
- Snow-White · hace 27 días
retard "h-numbers" simply LOVES buying bonds that are not bonds, what a stupid piece of shit
- Snow-White · hace 27 días
H-NUMBERS is one of the stupidest creatures to ever touch this site,. Needs to be locked up next to his Minnesota judge friend, on account of his IMBECILITY.
- Snow-White · hace 27 días
oh, this is where the brain-dead dumbfuq who thought they would NEVER convict the Minnesota judge hangs out to distort markets and stupidly bonds out nonbonds, the CRETIN H-NUMBERS
- Cruel-Swine · hace 2 meses
The thing is that even if it's solved, CMI has a rule of 2 years wait for "accepting" a proof. So that's actually a tricky one.
A las 2 oct, 06:13 UTC