US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?
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Historial de probabilidades
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Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.
Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.
Reglas de resolución
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement. The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection. The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Actividad en la plataforma
Leído de la plataforma hace 15 horasMejor compra 4 % · mejor venta 4 %
Mayores titulares
- 8dcc906a9b76037548912712607540934438081790688354128133763699489610805005008151176522200
- Detailed-Lip76037548912712607540934438081790688354128133763699489610805005008151176522200
- Kevindoto89125103552022262725651685659486376379996966990635357418328303015653830107110
- Fearless-Misnomer76037548912712607540934438081790688354128133763699489610805005008151176522200
- Talophex89125103552022262725651685659486376379996966990635357418328303015653830107110
Una instantánea de posiciones, no un historial de resultados.
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Debate en Predxy
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Nadie ha dicho nada aquí todavía.
6 comentarios
Del hilo propio de Polymarket- conotocaurius · hace 3 meses
no, it really does sound like 2c. The US will never be allowed by Iran to offer protection money in Hormuz. Potentially in other waters like Panama or Malacca, where there is not an incumbent great power on the littoral.
- variant1.meta · hace 3 meses
For this market the title is misleading a bit. In fact you can call it "will anyone pay the US anything for Hormuz security by Dec 31". Does not sound like 2c.
- Linguine12 · hace 3 meses
Perps code: 00aaoaac
- anónimo · hace 3 meses
People on poly significantly overprice very unlikely events
- conotocaurius · hace 3 meses
The underlying value of Dec 31st is 2c; the underlying value of the other dates is 0c.
- deadinternettheory · hace 3 meses
Permanent peace btw
A las 1 oct, 21:00 UTC