Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?
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Reglas de resolución
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface. The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface. The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
35 titulares · 3 comentarios · leído 29 sept, 12:46 UTC
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Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface. The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
leído 30 sept, 04:38 UTC
Otras variantes de este evento
Una variante leída sola engaña; las demás están al lado.| Mercado | Plataforma | Precio | Estado |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 97 % No | Abierto |
Actividad en la plataforma
Leído de la plataforma hace 22 horasMejor compra 51 % · mejor venta 52 %
Mayores titulares
- IronE60963992440718239966257291606349592661926467394904164445014389969175263847534
- zhaoyk96184600436497085725079168053655740273122158662361562933000499204786209757510
- dpnd96184600436497085725079168053655740273122158662361562933000499204786209757510
- Academic-Forecast60963992440718239966257291606349592661926467394904164445014389969175263847534
- DeverNoom60963992440718239966257291606349592661926467394904164445014389969175263847534
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Debate en Predxy
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Nadie ha dicho nada aquí todavía.
3 comentarios
Del hilo propio de Polymarket- RandomBozo · hace 3 meses
I think it means berthing rather than docking?
- Academic-Forecast · hace 3 meses
"The two vessels must be free-flying" , "If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify." What is the purpose of including these two convoluted conditions? What does "free flight" refer to? And what on earth does "passive placement" mean? Can't they both use engines, or can they? What is the point of these two seemingly contradictory conditions? In any case, why not leave these details to the SpaceX engineers?
- RandomBozo · hace 4 meses
Barring catastrophic failure, before December 31st is likely
A las 30 sept, 10:30 UTC