Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Precio comprobado el
Historial de probabilidades
Probabilidades implícitas del mercado · Todo el historial registradoArrastra para mover · pellizca o usa ⌘/Ctrl+desplazamiento para ampliar
Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.
Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.
Reglas de resolución
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
La misma pregunta en otras plataformas
2 plataformas la tienen- KalshiAbrir →
Ebola pandemic in 2026?: New pandemic by 2026? In Dec 31, 2026
If Ebola becomes a pandemic in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
leído 30 sept, 21:21 UTC
- Polymarketeste mercado
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
425 titulares · 11 comentarios · leído 30 sept, 18:39 UTC
Actividad en la plataforma
Leído de la plataforma ayerMejor compra 97 % · mejor venta 98 %
Mayores titulares
- ktv.bond10246658038984151650034103768976602428274967801463302666380268058083953976413
- flovertaco10246658038984151650034103768976602428274967801463302666380268058083953976413
- tradingdecs5444973545596458579098523490944458545624986484462005759523225760947454292938
- jaybd5444973545596458579098523490944458545624986484462005759523225760947454292938
- TruthSearUm5444973545596458579098523490944458545624986484462005759523225760947454292938
Una instantánea de posiciones, no un historial de resultados.
Operaciones recientes
- BUY98 %20 US$hace 3 días
- SELL2 %0,5 US$hace 3 días
- SELL97 %10,4 US$hace 4 días
- SELL98 %16,1 US$hace 4 días
- BUY98 %50 US$hace 4 días
- BUY98 %23 US$hace 4 días
Debate en Predxy
Qué opinan los lectores de Predxy sobre este mercado. Todos pueden leer; los lectores con sesión iniciada pueden escribir. El hilo propio de la plataforma, si lo hay, está en el recuadro de abajo.Inicia sesión para participar en el debate.
Nadie ha dicho nada aquí todavía.
11 comentarios
Del hilo propio de Polymarket- ToNNEllo · hace 10 días
NONONO
- ToNNEllo · hace 14 días
no? lol
- pokjkj · hace 2 meses
Stop it right now, that's way too scary!😀😀😀😀
- kdnckszp · hace 3 meses
no
- Davidbill · hace 4 meses
lol
- wi2.mk · hace 4 meses
why was there a spike recently ?
- Downright-Commuter · hace 4 meses
Devil's advocate - there's plenty of middle-ground scenarios where ebola has mutated or a new variant becomes prevalent with a higher R0, perhaps as high as HIV, but remains well below a world-ending threshold (as HIV has). No buyers can get better interest rates on other markets though.
- MtnMark · hace 4 meses
Former CDC director on Ebola outbreak: ‘I suspect this is going to become a very significant pandemic’ - The Hill
- MtnMark · hace 4 meses
Former CDC director on Ebola outbreak: ‘I suspect this is going to become a very significant pandemic’- The Hill[link removed]
- DonationsReceiver · hace 4 meses
JUST IN: Former CDC director warns Ebola outbreak may escalate into a major global pandemic - The Hill
- Striking-Jackfruit · hace 5 meses
This is free money. Why do people even bet on this? In the ~0.0001% off-chance of it actually happening, your money will be worthless anyways.
A las 1 oct, 23:05 UTC