PolymarketAbiertoParte de una pregunta en varias plataformas →

Will Pete Aguilar be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?

No96 %

Yes4 %

Precio comprobado el 2 oct, 04:14 UTC

Operar

Define tu país para ver dónde puedes operar.Definir tu país →

Abre la plataforma en una pestaña nueva, a través de Predxy.

Volumen 24 h—

Volumen 7 d—

Volumen 30 d—

Liquidez2 mil US$

Spread3 %

Se resuelve4 nov 2026el próximo mes

Historial de probabilidades

Probabilidades implícitas del mercado · Todo el historial registrado

Arrastra para mover · pellizca o usa ⌘/Ctrl+desplazamiento para ampliar

Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

La misma pregunta en otras plataformas

2 plataformas la tienen

Ver la pregunta combinada →

Comparables, no idénticas. Kalshi lists a later resolution time and permits accelerated determination after media consensus; Polymarket primarily uses official House information but also permits credible reporting. These are resolution-procedure differences, not differences in the underlying question.

KalshiAbrir →
120th Congress: Who will be elected Speaker of the House?: Who will win the election for Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives at the opening of the 120th Congress? Pete Aguilar
If Pete Aguilar wins the election for Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives at the opening of the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
leído 30 sept, 21:26 UTC
Polymarketeste mercado
Will Pete Aguilar be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
9 titulares · 1 comentarios · leído 1 oct, 13:08 UTC

Otras variantes de este evento

Una variante leída sola engaña; las demás están al lado.

Mercado	Plataforma	Precio	Volumen 24 h	Liquidez	Fin previsto	Estado
Will Jim Jordan be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?	Polymarket	96 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will Katherine Clark be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?	Polymarket	96 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will Steve Scalise be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?	Polymarket	96 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will Mike Johnson be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?	Polymarket	93 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?	Polymarket	87 % Yes	0,4 US$	—	—	Abierto

Actividad en la plataforma

Leído de la plataforma hace 16 horas

Titulares9

Valor en posiciones—

Operaciones (24 h)—

Operaciones—

Interés abierto—

Comentarios1

Mayores titulares

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296654101542906985569718600783879693049101429373932595435107462463408487930853269
cry.eth2111203602363066524881423282931288096416220624373768912491194352363569140911646
AJSV111203602363066524881423282931288096416220624373768912491194352363569140911646
nc3iceibvtvetvbt111203602363066524881423282931288096416220624373768912491194352363569140911646
lolzzzlol111203602363066524881423282931288096416220624373768912491194352363569140911646

Una instantánea de posiciones, no un historial de resultados.

Operaciones recientes

SELL6 %0,8 US$hace 13 días
SELL6 %0,8 US$hace 13 días
BUY99 %7,9 US$hace 2 meses
BUY99 %5 US$hace 2 meses
SELL1 %0 US$hace 6 meses
BUY99 %2,4 US$hace 6 meses

Debate en Predxy

Qué opinan los lectores de Predxy sobre este mercado. Todos pueden leer; los lectores con sesión iniciada pueden escribir. El hilo propio de la plataforma, si lo hay, está en el recuadro de abajo.

Inicia sesión para participar en el debate.

Nadie ha dicho nada aquí todavía.

1 comentario

Del hilo propio de Polymarket

Los comentarios pertenecen al evento de la plataforma, no a este resultado. Todas las variantes del mismo evento comparten este hilo.

SingletonFamilyFund · hace 3 meses
Jeffries’ Speaker bid becomes more endangered the smaller his majority is in the 120th House, as the growing ranks of the Squad are able to exert more influence over close votes

A las 2 oct, 04:51 UTC