Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
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Historial de probabilidades
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Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.
Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.
Reglas de resolución
This market will resolve according to the listed entity, which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1550+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Results from the "Text Arena" section on the leaderboard/text tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) will be used to resolve this market. If no company's model reaches 1550+ Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None in 2026". If the first model to reach a 1550+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Otras variantes de este evento
Una variante leída sola engaña; las demás están al lado.| Mercado | Plataforma | Precio | Estado |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Polymarket | 99 % No | Abierto |
| Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Polymarket | 97 % No | Abierto |
| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Polymarket | 98 % No | Abierto |
| Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Abierto |
| Will Mistral be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Abierto |
| Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Abierto |
| Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Abierto |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Polymarket | 84 % Yes | Abierto |
Actividad en la plataforma
Leído de la plataforma anteayerMejor compra 86 % · mejor venta 91 %
Mayores titulares
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296632825535655431939745572685434123145354077489229279837414130630025601697856276
- CryptoBizzi27344340898445557180786460822108743525317638691625764255744497804238923669987
- libratus132825535655431939745572685434123145354077489229279837414130630025601697856276
- elviktor7344340898445557180786460822108743525317638691625764255744497804238923669987
- thursdays7344340898445557180786460822108743525317638691625764255744497804238923669987
Una instantánea de posiciones, no un historial de resultados.
Operaciones recientes
- BUY10 %1,3 US$hace 3 días
- SELL10 %2,7 US$hace 5 días
- SELL87 %8,7 US$hace 10 días
- SELL10 %80 US$hace 17 días
- SELL11 %0,7 US$hace 17 días
- BUY13 %7,2 US$hace 19 días
Debate en Predxy
Qué opinan los lectores de Predxy sobre este mercado. Todos pueden leer; los lectores con sesión iniciada pueden escribir. El hilo propio de la plataforma, si lo hay, está en el recuadro de abajo.Inicia sesión para participar en el debate.
Nadie ha dicho nada aquí todavía.
3 comentarios
Del hilo propio de Polymarket- pblowesq · hace 6 meses
mythos
- Tinted-Outfielder · hace 7 meses
How did u do it?
- JarheadLXXI · hace 8 meses
woah! my first time ever getting a market created :D
A las 30 sept, 13:49 UTC