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PolymarketAbiertoParte de una pregunta en varias plataformas →

Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

No99 %
Yes1 %

Precio comprobado el

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Volumen 24 h280 US$
Volumen 7 d1,3 mil US$
Volumen 30 d48 mil US$
Liquidez50,6 mil US$
Spread0 %
Se resuelve31 dic 2026dentro de 3 meses

Historial de probabilidades

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Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Historial de probabilidades0%25%50%75%100%2 sept9 sept16 sept23 sept30 septLos periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026. This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used. A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

La misma pregunta en otras plataformas

Ver la pregunta combinada →
Comparables, no idénticas. The published resolution criteria differ in no material way. Polymarket lists a nominal resolution time of December 31, 2026, while PredictFun lists none, but this does not alter the event being measured.
  • PredictFunAbrir →

    Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

    This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026. This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used. A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

    leído 30 sept, 02:39 UTC

  • Polymarketeste mercado

    Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

    This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026. This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used. A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

    335 titulares · 47 comentarios · leído 22 sept, 21:55 UTC

Otras variantes de este evento

MercadoPlataformaPrecioEstado
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Polymarket52 % YesAbierto
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Polymarket56 % NoAbierto

Actividad en la plataforma

Titulares335
Valor en posiciones—
Operaciones (24 h)—
Operaciones—
Interés abierto—
Comentarios45

Mejor compra 1 % · mejor venta 1 %

Mayores titulares

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296613198492243104969870060845911010474387056538917694736927351969149091449558789
  • Bustling-Equipment105566978263195737306060355025251866920786572554094317700063379261082055492438
  • Contentious-Dinnerdate105566978263195737306060355025251866920786572554094317700063379261082055492438
  • tetrose105566978263195737306060355025251866920786572554094317700063379261082055492438
  • DualDelta105566978263195737306060355025251866920786572554094317700063379261082055492438

Una instantánea de posiciones, no un historial de resultados.

Operaciones recientes

  • BUY1 %0,8 US$hace 8 días
  • BUY1 %1 US$hace 8 días
  • BUY1 %0,4 US$hace 8 días
  • BUY1 %0,1 US$hace 8 días
  • BUY1 %0,1 US$hace 8 días
  • BUY1 %0,2 US$hace 8 días

Debate en Predxy

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45 comentarios

Los comentarios pertenecen al evento de la plataforma, no a este resultado. Todas las variantes del mismo evento comparten este hilo.
  • altdel · hace 9 días

    There’s no “if” for degens.

  • clazzy1 · hace 9 días

    What if they dont IPO?

  • Pump · hace 10 días

    imagine losing 100k and it doesnt even get to IPO in 2026💀

  • .ybryven · hace 14 días

    i wrote "sybilhunt" and got a real small but sweet drop

  • .kalvaxio · hace 14 días

    i wrote "sybilhunt" and got a small real token drop

  • altdel · hace 19 días

    That’s the problem, NPM isn’t moving, while rumors of an IPO pause or delay keep growing.

  • ThanksGivingTurkey1001 · hace 20 días

    Well he rather sell now than hold to 0c. 1,31t in private

  • altdel · hace 22 días

    @Coram_Deo typical retard, panicked and dumped everything

  • Pump · hace 23 días

    95

  • ctre · hace 24 días

    should be at 70

  • LordProtector · hace 29 días

    SpaceX: ~$30–35B Revenue in 2026, ~+50–90% growth. Anthropic: ~$65B+ ARR, ~+620% growth.

  • altdel · el mes pasado

    Don’t forget to sell before it’s too late.

  • ThanksGivingTurkey1001 · el mes pasado

    From 1,11t to 1,25t mcap in private for anthropic within 10days. Let’s go

  • ThanksGivingTurkey1001 · el mes pasado

    1.25t in private

  • no1yet · el mes pasado

    It’s all good, man. The bets are in.

  • ThanksGivingTurkey1001 · el mes pasado

    dont under estimate anthropic growth. but i got u, id also cope if i was on the verge of becoming a 1001th day thanksgiving turkey

  • no1yet · hace 2 meses

    AI is a massive trend, no doubt. But SpaceX has been built over two decades. It’s more than just rockets and spacecraft: Starlink, xAI (Grok), X, and massive AI infrastructure.

  • Asahiko · hace 2 meses

    SPCX has many narrative an enormous fan base and had time to get sell the dream, anthropic (heavy usuer here) still not at all an equivalent community, also all other Frontier labs at least on the public. (accessible) models have more or less catch up, I can see the 2.T headings not more and will prob be 1.5

  • ThanksGivingTurkey1001 · hace 2 meses

    bruh 1,18T$ fdv in private already. Not ready

  • Probs · hace 2 meses

    The other polymatket for whether Anthropic IPOs this year is at 80%

A las 30 sept, 07:32 UTC