Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
Precio comprobado el
Historial de probabilidades
Probabilidades implícitas del mercado · Todo el historial registradoArrastra para mover · pellizca o usa ⌘/Ctrl+desplazamiento para ampliar
Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.
Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.
Reglas de resolución
This market will resolve according to the asset which has the best performance in 2026 among Bitcoin, Gold, and the S&P 500 with performance measured as the percentage change in price during the year for each asset. The percentage change in price for Bitcoin will be calculated by comparing the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT on January 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET to the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT on December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for Bitcoin will be Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT in the chart with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar and the mouse on the candle for the relevant minute (the “time tools” selection may be used to view historical candles). The percentage change in Gold will be calculated by comparing the official Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) Close price for the last trading day in 2025 to the official Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) Close price for the last trading day in 2026, as reported by MarketWatch. The resolution source for Gold will be MarketWatch, specifically the close values reported for Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) under “Historical Quotes” at https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/gc00. The percentage change in the S&P 500 will be calculated by comparing the official S&P 500 Index (^SPX) Close price for the last trading day in 2025 to the official S&P 500 Index (^SPX) Close price for the last trading day in 2026, as reported by Yahoo Finance. The resolution source for the S&P 500 will be Yahoo Finance, specifically the Close values published by Yahoo Finance for S&P 500 Index (^SPX) at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ESPX/history/. If two or more listed assets have exactly the same performance for 2026, this market will resolve according to the asset whose name, as listed in the title of this market, comes first alphabetically (e.g. if Bitcoin and Gold tie, this market will resolve to Bitcoin). Only closing prices will be used for all calculations; total return measures will not be applied. If either of the relevant trading days are shortened, the official closing price published for that session will be used. If any relevant day lacks a specified closing price, the last valid historical closing price offered by the resolution source will be used.
Otras variantes de este evento
Una variante leída sola engaña; las demás están al lado.| Mercado | Plataforma | Precio | Estado |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | Polymarket | 88 % No | Abierto |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | Polymarket | 60 % Yes | Abierto |
Actividad en la plataforma
Leído de la plataforma hace 2 horasMejor compra 23 % · mejor venta 26 %
Mayores titulares
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296695097331309577172647133042426866339261719483395475071583274489760894986349855
- woshiLimpeh108251591904413063139495882252154135107497878738832930637657538583440424739851
- BIGDar108251591904413063139495882252154135107497878738832930637657538583440424739851
- Yurion095097331309577172647133042426866339261719483395475071583274489760894986349855
- nirvanacrypto108251591904413063139495882252154135107497878738832930637657538583440424739851
Una instantánea de posiciones, no un historial de resultados.
Operaciones recientes
- BUY26 %5,4 US$hace 4 horas
- BUY26 %2,5 US$hace 23 horas
- SELL24 %1,4 US$hace 23 horas
- SELL24 %1,4 US$hace 23 horas
- SELL24 %1,4 US$hace 23 horas
- SELL24 %1,4 US$hace 23 horas
Debate en Predxy
Qué opinan los lectores de Predxy sobre este mercado. Todos pueden leer; los lectores con sesión iniciada pueden escribir. El hilo propio de la plataforma, si lo hay, está en el recuadro de abajo.Inicia sesión para participar en el debate.
Nadie ha dicho nada aquí todavía.
21 comentarios
Del hilo propio de Polymarket- GenaTheBondKilIer · hace 2 meses
tst
- quickwhale1589 · hace 3 meses
my copy trades keep hitting
- Zesty-Nucleotide · hace 3 meses
perps: 00jbvof3
- HeyVaro · hace 4 meses
performance
- HeyVaro · hace 4 meses
Sp500 ..
- Great-Calm · hace 5 meses
SnP will be up btc will be going down till dec and gold has reached its high
- Poppy6 · hace 5 meses
Individual stock differentiation intensifies, and the market is shifting from general ups and downs to structural gains.
- waive · hace 6 meses
je suis bitcoin
- Reasonable-Desire · hace 7 meses
Concur
- Amaranthay · hace 7 meses
gold
- Pmw-Julio · hace 7 meses
Ouro ou Bitcoin ??
- bndrn · hace 7 meses
wtf
- Absolute.Degenerate · hace 8 meses
yes but almost better hodling bitcoin boring bet too
- Absolute.Degenerate · hace 8 meses
yes but boring. better hold bitcoin
- azmor · hace 8 meses
easy money
- mooresharon · hace 9 meses
Bitcoin
- wsmitpwtind · hace 9 meses
why not buy sp500 instead
- Constant-Inscription · hace 9 meses
why did this trade lost in the resolution source before the trade close it was down how come yours said lost wtf your current price is not matching that of the The resolution source
- Obamnna · hace 9 meses
Lol you can make 140% here and bitcoin can win by just going down less
- TheGoldenShotg4nSK · hace 9 meses
Instead of betting on BTC just buy BTC. That way you will be more likely to make profit and even if SP500 or gold outperforms BTC you will still have profit from BTC gaining value.
A las 1 oct, 10:56 UTC