Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Precio comprobado el
Historial de probabilidades
Probabilidades implícitas del mercado · Todo el historial registradoArrastra para mover · pellizca o usa ⌘/Ctrl+desplazamiento para ampliar
Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.
Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.
Reglas de resolución
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Otras variantes de este evento
Una variante leída sola engaña; las demás están al lado.| Mercado | Plataforma | Precio | Estado |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Abierto |
| Will Québec solidaire win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Abierto |
| Will Parti vert du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Abierto |
| Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | Polymarket | 97 % No | Abierto |
| Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | Polymarket | 99 % No | Abierto |
Actividad en la plataforma
Leído de la plataforma hace 6 díasMejor compra 7 % · mejor venta 8 %
Mayores titulares
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b12966104003951685118099617273681901030817359395321307025897997858344751070270175696
- elPolloLoco65322106850459544646271115791218393848695885094753222820688299472048959196589
- GOGO-65322106850459544646271115791218393848695885094753222820688299472048959196589
- mrworldwide65322106850459544646271115791218393848695885094753222820688299472048959196589
- Red781RuM65322106850459544646271115791218393848695885094753222820688299472048959196589
Una instantánea de posiciones, no un historial de resultados.
Operaciones recientes
- BUY93 %1 US$hace 7 días
- BUY93 %1 US$hace 7 días
- SELL92 %7,2 US$hace 7 días
- BUY92 %733,1 US$hace 7 días
- BUY92 %50,6 US$hace 7 días
- BUY9 %0,5 US$hace 7 días
Debate en Predxy
Qué opinan los lectores de Predxy sobre este mercado. Todos pueden leer; los lectores con sesión iniciada pueden escribir. El hilo propio de la plataforma, si lo hay, está en el recuadro de abajo.Inicia sesión para participar en el debate.
Nadie ha dicho nada aquí todavía.
78 comentarios
Del hilo propio de Polymarket- Calimer0 · anteayer
GG I'll never redeem my shares, I'm leaving them to my great-grandkids to remember an old party that doesn't exist anymore and only held power for 8 years.
- Fitzg · hace 8 días
You're right, as long as the others are divided.
- GOGO- · hace 8 días
The PQ doesn’t need gains.
- Fitzg · hace 8 días
Ok, new pallas is bad for CAQ/Frechette Still no new gain for PQ
- Fitzg · hace 8 días
I'm waiting for polls showing the PQ gaining ground. There hasn't been a single one since the start of the campaign. Also, there are way too many undecided voters at this stage.
- maisond · hace 8 días
bro for the love of god sell, caq is not winning
- WhaleWatch-44630 · hace 9 días
mrworldwide is up 2.97% on their $2,882.21 bet on PQ with outcome Yes. Current value: $2,967.95. When you see returns like that, you pay attention.
- Fitzg · hace 10 días
I changed my name, it should help me
- Pointed-Advice · hace 10 días
I mean proportionally to the percentage of votes they received.
- Fitzg · hace 10 días
I just realized you said: "boomers also tend to vote heavily for the Parti Québécois under normal circumstances" — when? 2012?
- Fitzg · hace 10 días
- Pointed-Advice · hace 10 días
That would be the right time, when the next polls come out on Monday or Tuesday, this percentage will increase.
- Fitzg · hace 10 días
you should go buy PQ majority at 20c
- Pointed-Advice · hace 10 días
Boomers also tend to vote heavily for the Parti Québécois under normal circumstances, but many of them moved to the CAQ at the beginning of the campaign. Many of them will return to the PQ. As for the PLQ, if it gains a little at the CAQ expense, that would increase the chances of a majority for the Parti Québécois.
- Fitzg · hace 10 días
I believe you. So if Fréchette drops, federalists and boomers who don't want a referendum will vote PLQ? And with the PQ rising, which parties will the PQ have taken votes from?
- Pointed-Advice · hace 10 días
In the next Léger poll, the Parti Québécois will rise and the CAQ will fall. Christine Fréchette has had a disastrous week.
- Fitzg · hace 10 días
I still think anything can happen with our British parliamentary system, 5 parties, and the leading one at 28% (historically the lowest for a win)
- Fitzg · hace 10 días
let's go boomers!
- Fitzg · hace 10 días
I sold some, but not enough
- Fitzg · hace 10 días
I sold some
A las 29 sept, 22:06 UTC