Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.8m & 5m square kilometers?
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Historial de probabilidades
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Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.
Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.
Reglas de resolución
This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center. This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Otras variantes de este evento
Una variante leída sola engaña; las demás están al lado.| Mercado | Plataforma | Precio | Estado |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers? | Polymarket | 99 % No | Abierto |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be at least 5m square kilometers? | Polymarket | 99 % No | Abierto |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers? | Polymarket | 99 % No | Abierto |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Abierto |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Abierto |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers? | Polymarket | 98 % Yes | Abierto |
Actividad en la plataforma
Leído de la plataforma hace 10 horasMejor compra 100 % · mejor venta 100 %
Mayores titulares
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b12966112681993004854169211280681652964877492713408756479770464709329240422582754083
- 25oodksmsss0956174832519546664583565006174218478528179424017318292485896876171656596667823
- huyewell56174832519546664583565006174218478528179424017318292485896876171656596667823
- 50sad56174832519546664583565006174218478528179424017318292485896876171656596667823
- b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.56174832519546664583565006174218478528179424017318292485896876171656596667823
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Debate en Predxy
Qué opinan los lectores de Predxy sobre este mercado. Todos pueden leer; los lectores con sesión iniciada pueden escribir. El hilo propio de la plataforma, si lo hay, está en el recuadro de abajo.Inicia sesión para participar en el debate.
Nadie ha dicho nada aquí todavía.
6 comentarios
Del hilo propio de Polymarket- hammerstak · hace 8 meses
I'll take your free money, thank you!
- Blackcap-162 · hace 9 meses
The so called "long term trend" has plateaued. I expect the ice to regain in the coming years.
- KennedyG · hace 10 meses
Just as I thought
- KennedyG · hace 10 meses
The long-term trend is completely stacked against the ice. We are definitely challenging the all-time record low set back in 2012.
- Boibino · hace 10 meses
So whats your position
- Domimic · hace 10 meses
We are definitely challenging the all-time record low set back in 2012. The long-term trend is just completely stacked against the ice.
A las 30 sept, 23:36 UTC