PolymarketAbierto

Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?

No97 %

Yes3 %

Precio comprobado el 1 oct, 12:20 UTC

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Liquidez4,5 mil US$

Spread1 %

Se resuelve1 ene 2027dentro de 3 meses

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Reglas de resolución

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Otras variantes de este evento

Una variante leída sola engaña; las demás están al lado.

Mercado	Plataforma	Precio	Volumen 24 h	Liquidez	Fin previsto	Estado
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	Polymarket	96 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?	Polymarket	97 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Polymarket	85 % No	238,1 US$	—	—	Abierto
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Polymarket	92 % No	51 US$	—	—	Abierto

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Comentarios37

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37 comentarios

Del hilo propio de Polymarket

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Capital-Endoderm · hace 7 días
I'll keep the Toilet Paper doomerism going. Friends from the US: Toilet Paper equals Diesel. If there are Diesel shortages >> Toilet Paper shortages.
Capital-Endoderm · hace 2 meses
YES is massively undervalued. In 2025, between June and December, the CPI grew by only 0.46% TOTAL, and only because oil/gas prices tanked. From now on, CPI YoY has a stairway to heaven. Hoard toilet paper before October.
Zesty-Nucleotide · hace 3 meses
perps: 00jbvof3
RollerPennies · hace 3 meses
lol
MatthewHor · hace 3 meses
How are these odds so low when the Strait of Hormuz is still closed and Cushing, OK is about to hit tank bottoms? What am I missing?
hugoops · hace 3 meses
are u still thinking the same?
anónimo · hace 4 meses
Its a good trade but always manage your risk
GypSea1 · hace 4 meses
If I wouldn't have a wife, I would spend all my money on 4,5 and 5% options, too good to be true...
Capital-Endoderm · hace 4 meses
Hot job data today. Sell crypto, buy toilet paper. Your butt will thank me in October when TP will be more valuable than gold in the US.
Capital-Endoderm · hace 5 meses
ICYMI: more AWFUL news. Import prices crushed (2x) the forecast, and bond yields are skyrocketing. Forget this bet, consider selling crypto/bitcoin and stocking up on toilet paper.
GypSea1 · hace 5 meses
Well, then let the inflation begin:D
MKIsabella · hace 5 meses
OECD says 4.2% average, which means you would have some months in 5.5% range at least. This report was done in April 2026, when Hormuz was only closed 3-4 weeks. [link removed]
MKIsabella · hace 5 meses
OECD says 4.2% average, which would suggest at least one month has to pop above 5%. [link removed]
Capital-Endoderm · hace 5 meses
The PPI read today was AWFUL. PPI anticipates CPI when inflation is driven by commodities (like oil) and supply chain issues.
GypSea1 · hace 5 meses
Do you guys think if the energy prices stay high for 2-3 more months, can it hit 6%?
GypSea1 · hace 5 meses
Still waiting
NoPeeking · hace 5 meses
thx man
kirby26 · hace 5 meses
kick rocks MKIsabella
perfectnostalgia · hace 5 meses
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports." Rule set seems clear to me. 3.5 Exactly is not enough, needs to be 3.6.
NoPeeking · hace 6 meses
Guys! a hypothetical question: if Apr CPI were 3.5%, it would not be counted as above 3.5%?

A las 1 oct, 12:38 UTC