Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?
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Historial de probabilidades
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Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.
Reglas de resolución
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
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2 plataformas la tienen- Polymarketeste mercado
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
54 titulares · 0 comentarios · leído 30 sept, 15:18 UTC
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How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026: 30%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin , specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
0 titulares · leído 1 oct, 09:22 UTC
Otras variantes de este evento
Una variante leída sola engaña; las demás están al lado.| Mercado | Plataforma | Precio | Estado |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026? | Polymarket | 96 % No | Abierto |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2026? | Polymarket | 97 % No | Abierto |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 37% in 2026? | Polymarket | 94 % Yes | Abierto |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 34% in 2026? | Polymarket | 88 % No | Abierto |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | Polymarket | 73 % No | Abierto |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% in 2026? | Polymarket | 62 % Yes | Abierto |
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- MrMarket48666726557007585081381865213426517317614787545431803238606513829409546486482
- Powerful-Table38816444614478228607897758708068129912452557060067379017603503696338343539641
- DerDon48666726557007585081381865213426517317614787545431803238606513829409546486482
- gesst48666726557007585081381865213426517317614787545431803238606513829409546486482
- RadioCCOD38816444614478228607897758708068129912452557060067379017603503696338343539641
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Debate en Predxy
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Nadie ha dicho nada aquí todavía.
A las 1 oct, 13:14 UTC