Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No100 %
Yes0 %

Precio comprobado el

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Volumen 7 d—
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Liquidez156,8 mil US$
Spread0 %
Se resuelve1 ene 2027dentro de 3 meses

Historial de probabilidades

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Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Historial de probabilidades0%25%50%75%100%2 sept9 sept16 sept23 sept30 septLos periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.

Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

La misma pregunta en otras plataformas

Ver la pregunta combinada →
Comparables, no idénticas. The criteria are materially identical, including the Federal Reserve sources and the December 31, 2026 cutoff. Polymarket lists settlement at 2027-01-01 04:59 UTC, while PredictFun does not list a resolution timestamp; this does not change the question.
  • PredictFunAbrir →

    Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

    This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. Created At: 2026-03-02T12:00:42.329575048Z

    leído 30 sept, 15:59 UTC

  • Polymarketeste mercado

    Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

    This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

    408 titulares · 123 comentarios · leído 28 sept, 01:26 UTC

Otras variantes de este evento

MercadoPlataformaPrecioEstado
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Polymarket97 % YesAbierto
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Polymarket98 % NoAbierto
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Polymarket99 % NoAbierto
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Polymarket100 % NoAbierto

Actividad en la plataforma

Titulares408
Valor en posiciones—
Operaciones (24 h)—
Operaciones—
Interés abierto—
Comentarios111

Mayores titulares

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296682580329456069960430455853606847264180718690130912450048527873419398759263654
  • Election202477531340423610587330488971960018210147778793548713753738604838920212617696839
  • FluxCapacitor8877531340423610587330488971960018210147778793548713753738604838920212617696839
  • WolfCharge77531340423610587330488971960018210147778793548713753738604838920212617696839
  • YasZoso77531340423610587330488971960018210147778793548713753738604838920212617696839

Una instantánea de posiciones, no un historial de resultados.

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Debate en Predxy

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111 comentarios

Los comentarios pertenecen al evento de la plataforma, no a este resultado. Todas las variantes del mismo evento comparten este hilo.
  • notrading_advice · hace 6 horas

    zero cuts is the answer and polybro model has said that since summer, market finally catching up

  • PouringRain · hace 3 días

    Been trading this on perps too. Curious how everyone is positioning here. For anyone looking for it: 015ssr4c

  • mous87- · hace 5 días

    market keeps hoping for cuts but polybro has been saying the same thing since summer and its not that

  • verygoodhhh · hace 7 días

    with the

  • jozeslemsek · hace 12 días

    Why is the pricing on this market misaligned with the "fed decision in december" market?

  • RimROm · hace 19 días

    What would make the committee accelerate rather than pause?👹

  • Happy-Fox-Lynx · hace 27 días

    Fed cuts in 2026 with $50M total; polybro odds analysis shows a persistent gap vs CME FedWatch that keeps closing and reopening after data releases.

  • Ozir · el mes pasado

    Surprise coming 😂

  • Price031 · el mes pasado

    yes

  • crshel2 · el mes pasado

    0 bps now and 15%, hmmm

  • Linguine12 · hace 2 meses

    Are people still looking for perps?

  • Jeffrey-Einstein · hace 2 meses

    no, jerome is the king of the world

  • mkskstk1 · hace 2 meses

    whats going on here?

  • Stefnc · hace 2 meses

    Changer la photo de Powell

  • toneth · hace 2 meses

    They dont update that picture cause Jpow printer go Burrrr

  • Jeffrey-Einstein · hace 2 meses

    wont happen in the same year, fed policy actions take anywhere between 8-12 months or even longer to realize their impact on the economy, therefore it would be premature to do anything until you see what your cuts or hikes are doing to the economy

  • LA17 · hace 2 meses

    yes

  • Downright-Underground · hace 2 meses

    If the Fed raises interest rates by 25 basis points and then cuts rates by 25 basis points, is this regarded as one rate cut?

  • chessbot · hace 2 meses

    You are a very good boy

  • Cryptostradamus · hace 2 meses

    If I'm so delusional, then why am I up 4x on my account since I started polymarket last February, while you're down badly?

A las 30 sept, 22:57 UTC