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Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes97 %

No3 %

Precio comprobado el 30 sept, 18:23 UTC

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Volumen 24 h666,8 US$

Volumen 7 d5,6 mil US$

Volumen 30 d287,9 mil US$

Liquidez79,9 mil US$

Spread0 %

Se resuelve1 ene 2027dentro de 3 meses

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Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.

Reglas de resolución

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

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Comparables, no idénticas. Polymarket publishes a resolution time of January 1, 2027, while PredictFun publishes no resolution time; this does not change the underlying question. The published resolution criteria otherwise differ in no material way.

Polymarketeste mercado
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
510 titulares · 0 comentarios · leído 30 sept, 10:24 UTC
PredictFunAbrir →
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
leído 30 sept, 08:15 UTC

Otras variantes de este evento

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Mercado	Plataforma	Precio	Volumen 24 h	Liquidez	Fin previsto	Estado
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	Polymarket	99 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?	Polymarket	99 % No	—	—	—	Abierto
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Polymarket	99 % No	53,1 US$	—	—	Abierto

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0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b129668070607953656787024050950499598687532281829563384949938603247089607814583142
schizohedgehog56615676606297588259337956203332341775475048285080710344367729433788967812170
Folletin56615676606297588259337956203332341775475048285080710344367729433788967812170
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A las 30 sept, 18:36 UTC