Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Precio comprobado el
Historial de probabilidades
Probabilidades implícitas del mercado · Todo el historial registradoArrastra para mover · pellizca o usa ⌘/Ctrl+desplazamiento para ampliar
Los periodos sombreados no tienen una comprobación horaria de precios satisfactoria.
Basado en los precios de los posibles resultados de este mercado, expresados como probabilidades.
Reglas de resolución
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
La misma pregunta en otras plataformas
3 plataformas la tienen- PredictFunAbrir →
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
leído 30 sept, 12:03 UTC
- Polymarketeste mercado
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
5,7 mil titulares · 20,2 mil comentarios · leído 27 sept, 01:44 UTC
- MyriadAbrir →
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
### **Market Dates:** - **Market Period:** From the publication date until June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Market Close:** June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Resolution Time:** Upon official confirmation of the winning candidate. ### **Resolution Criteria:** - This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially declared the winner of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election. - Resolves to "**Yes**" for the candidate who is officially declared the winner. - Resolves to "**No**" for all other listed candidates. - This market includes any potential second-round runoff. - If a listed candidate withdraws, is disqualified, or otherwise does not appear on the final ballot before voting begins, that candidate's outcome will resolve to "No", unless they are nevertheless officially declared the winner before resolution occurs. ### **Resolution Details:** - If the result of this election is not known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No" for all outcomes. ### **Resolution Sources** - This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. - In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results published by Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE). ### **Cancellation Conditions:** - Any circumstance that makes the outcome impossible to determine using the specified criteria. If the market is cancelled, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of those shares at cancellation.
leído 30 sept, 12:24 UTC
Otras variantes de este evento
Una variante leída sola engaña; las demás están al lado.Actividad en la plataforma
Leído de la plataforma hace 3 díasMejor compra 43 % · mejor venta 44 %
Mayores titulares
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296679191939610100241429039499950443680906623179487184628479206155805558220344190
- unknwnfnd30630994248667897740988010928640156931882346081873066002335460180076741328029
- TheReturnOfDarthMaul30630994248667897740988010928640156931882346081873066002335460180076741328029
- ScottyNooo30630994248667897740988010928640156931882346081873066002335460180076741328029
- eventalpha2630630994248667897740988010928640156931882346081873066002335460180076741328029
Una instantánea de posiciones, no un historial de resultados.
Operaciones recientes
- BUY57 %50 US$hace 3 días
- SELL56 %4,8 US$hace 3 días
- BUY44 %5 US$hace 3 días
- BUY57 %4,9 US$hace 3 días
- BUY44 %4 US$hace 3 días
- BUY44 %8,8 US$hace 3 días
Debate en Predxy
Qué opinan los lectores de Predxy sobre este mercado. Todos pueden leer; los lectores con sesión iniciada pueden escribir. El hilo propio de la plataforma, si lo hay, está en el recuadro de abajo.Inicia sesión para participar en el debate.
Nadie ha dicho nada aquí todavía.
11.571 comentarios
Del hilo propio de Polymarket- Mortified-Headline · hace 33 minutos
- FarbusBoIsonaro22 · hace 34 minutos
Atualmente em votos válidos vou chutar que está 44 x 40 pro Loola no 1° turno, 2pp de margem de erro.
- DNX-based · hace 35 minutos
Total Bolsonaro victory
- LHGZ · hace 35 minutos
Acho que é impossível ser pior que o Lula meu camarada
- DNX-based · hace 36 minutos
Total Lula death
- FarbusBoIsonaro22 · hace 36 minutos
Estão ignorando os números das pesquisas, BATEU O DESESPERO KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK
- FellipeFB22 · hace 37 minutos
Derreta Lula maldito
- FarbusBoIsonaro22 · hace 39 minutos
Estou ciente, amigo. Segundo turno será uma eleição totalmente diferente, muitos vermelhos entrarão em depressão e o jeito será apelar pro Dino dar um golpe. Galera ainda entendeu o que está acontecendo. 👇️ Pesquisa Ideia em 29 de setembro de 2022: 1° Turno - Lula 47 Bolsonaro 37 2° Turno - Lula 52 Bolsonaro 41
- halostryx · hace 40 minutos
joga quem quer quem é putinha de querer o papai estado regulando a vida dos outros tem 2 dígitos de QI
- LHGZ · hace 41 minutos
Não acontecerá
- halostryx · hace 41 minutos
TEM QUE SER TOO BIG TO RIG VAMO CARALHO 22
- halostryx · hace 42 minutos
ele nao esta fazendo campanha no estado dele, mal esta fazendo campanha
- Lula.desistiu · hace 42 minutos
DERRETA LULA!!!!
- LHGZ · hace 43 minutos
Calma calabreso, ninguém do partido missão tá querendo esse teu C#zinho bolsopetista não, rlx
- Lula.desistiu · hace 44 minutos
O
- LHGZ · hace 45 minutos
Achar que o Kim Kataguiri não ganha é muita inocência
- Issesterfesson · hace 47 minutos
Calma amigo! Ta nervoso? Percebi que está postando com muita raiva. O que houve?
- armnas · hace 56 minutos
15 milhões? Chuto pelo menos 20 milhões de votos
- Terryvel22 · hace 58 minutos
VC acha que lula agrega 12 milhões de votos do primeiro para o segundo turno , na passada agregou 3.....kkkkkk,estão de piada esse instituto.....kkkkkk
- Petty-Impala · hace 58 minutos
Lula em 2022 tava queimado, tinha acabado de sair da cadeia e ainda ganhou do MITO. É muita inocência achar que o Lula está mais fraco do que em 2022. O choque de realidade para os bolsonaristas será brutal.
A las 30 sept, 12:29 UTC