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How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: <5

Yes50 %

No50 %

Preis geprüft am 30. Sept., 20:56 UTC

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Entscheidet sich31. Dez. 2026in 3 Monaten

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Entscheidungsregeln

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Vergleichbar, nicht identisch. The published criteria are materially identical. Polymarket lists resolution at 2027-01-01 04:59 UTC, while Limitless lists 2026-12-31 00:00 UTC; this is only a settlement-time difference, not a difference in the measured question.

PolymarketÖffnen →
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
174 Halter · 0 Kommentare · gelesen 26. Sept., 23:36 UTC
Limitlessdieser Markt
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: <5
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
6 Halter · gelesen 30. Sept., 17:33 UTC

Weitere Ausprägungen dieses Ereignisses

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Markt	Plattform	Preis	24h-Volumen	Liquidität	Geplantes Ende	Status
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 5-6	Limitless	50 % No	—	—	—	Offen
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 11-12	Limitless	99 % No	—	—	—	Offen
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 7-8	Limitless	98 % No	—	—	—	Offen
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 9-10	Limitless	99 % No	—	—	—	Offen
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 13-14	Limitless	50 % No	—	—	—	Offen
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 15-16	Limitless	50 % No	—	—	—	Offen
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: >16	Limitless	99 % No	—	—	—	Offen

Aktivität auf der Plattform

Von der Plattform gelesen vor 3 Stunden

Halter6

Gehaltener Wert220,6 $

Trades (24h)—

Trades3

Offene Positionen—

Kommentare0

Bestes Gebot 0 % · bester Brief 100 %

Größte Halter

sYes98,3 $
0x83a54Eb6ecD18E68DeB0Df994E7C1D7318B5DDD0No57,6 $
0xB1A36bE1Ed2F36bcC3B138CAD10366A6b5d550A8No52,3 $
0x795fd17dE8Fc54650bF0E4B273B4a099A5e49f81No5,9 $
0x7b850Cf41910A9b9De98BA14AF87247405BB87a0Yes5,3 $

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Stand 30. Sept., 20:58 UTC