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How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: >16

No99 %

Yes1 %

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Entscheidet sich31. Dez. 2026in 3 Monaten

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Entscheidungsregeln

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Vergleichbar, nicht identisch. The venues differ in stated resolution time (Polymarket shortly after the period ends; Limitless at the period endpoint), but this does not change the underlying question. Their published resolution criteria and sources otherwise match materially.

PolymarketÖffnen →
Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
73 Halter · 0 Kommentare · gelesen 25. Sept., 22:55 UTC
Limitlessdieser Markt
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: >16
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
0 Halter · gelesen 29. Sept., 20:07 UTC

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Markt	Plattform	Preis	24h-Volumen	Liquidität	Geplantes Ende	Status
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: <5	Limitless	50 % Yes	—	—	—	Offen
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 5-6	Limitless	50 % No	—	—	—	Offen
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 11-12	Limitless	99 % No	—	—	—	Offen
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 7-8	Limitless	98 % No	—	—	—	Offen
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 9-10	Limitless	99 % No	—	—	—	Offen
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 13-14	Limitless	50 % No	—	—	—	Offen
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 15-16	Limitless	50 % No	—	—	—	Offen

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