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How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 11-12

No99 %

Yes1 %

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Entscheidet sich31. Dez. 2026in 3 Monaten

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Entscheidungsregeln

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Vergleichbar, nicht identisch. Polymarket lists settlement on January 1, 2027, while Limitless lists December 31, 2026; both criteria measure launches through December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. The published resolution source and substantive rules are otherwise identical.

PolymarketÖffnen →
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
93 Halter · 0 Kommentare · gelesen 25. Sept., 10:58 UTC
Limitlessdieser Markt
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 11-12
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
0 Halter · gelesen 29. Sept., 21:07 UTC

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Markt	Plattform	Preis	24h-Volumen	Liquidität	Geplantes Ende	Status
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: <5	Limitless	50 % Yes	—	—	—	Offen
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 5-6	Limitless	50 % No	—	—	—	Offen
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 7-8	Limitless	98 % No	—	—	—	Offen
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 9-10	Limitless	99 % No	—	—	—	Offen
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 13-14	Limitless	50 % No	—	—	—	Offen
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 15-16	Limitless	50 % No	—	—	—	Offen
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: >16	Limitless	99 % No	—	—	—	Offen

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