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Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

No60 %

Yes40 %

Preis geprüft am 30. Sept., 02:30 UTC

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24h-Volumen28,1 $

7-Tage-Volumen845,5 $

30-Tage-Volumen2899 $

Liquidität833,5 $

Spread4 %

Entscheidet sich1. Jan. 2027in 3 Monaten

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Entscheidungsregeln

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Vergleichbar, nicht identisch. The published criteria are materially identical. Polymarket lists resolution at 2027-01-01 04:59 UTC, while Limitless lists 2026-12-31 00:00 UTC; this is only a settlement-time difference, not a difference in the measured question.

Polymarketdieser Markt
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
174 Halter · 0 Kommentare · gelesen 26. Sept., 23:36 UTC
LimitlessÖffnen →
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: <5
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
6 Halter · gelesen 30. Sept., 00:38 UTC

Weitere Ausprägungen dieses Ereignisses

Eine Ausprägung allein führt in die Irre; die anderen stehen daneben.

Markt	Plattform	Preis	24h-Volumen	Liquidität	Geplantes Ende	Status
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	57 % Yes	120,1 $	—	—	Offen
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	100 % No	100,5 $	—	—	Offen
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	98 % No	98,8 $	—	—	Offen
Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	100 % No	82,8 $	—	—	Offen
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	100 % No	12,8 $	—	—	Offen

Aktivität auf der Plattform

Von der Plattform gelesen vor 3 Tagen

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Jam-Packed-Fraud36062429679865523787623068309302905887961488865948110723876152708058004555549
IronE108274249976865200285399055028180907021395947249491255471470364491925454297602
nellojello36062429679865523787623068309302905887961488865948110723876152708058004555549
zhaoyk36062429679865523787623068309302905887961488865948110723876152708058004555549

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Stand 30. Sept., 03:16 UTC