PolymarketOffenTeil einer plattformübergreifenden Frage →

Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

No99 %

Yes1 %

Preis geprüft am 29. Sept., 22:49 UTC

Handeln

Lege dein Land fest, um zu sehen, wo du handeln kannst.Land festlegen →

Öffnet die Plattform in einem neuen Tab, über Predxy.

24h-Volumen402,7 $

7-Tage-Volumen1078,7 $

30-Tage-Volumen1855,7 $

Liquidität1143,1 $

Spread1 %

Entscheidet sich1. Jan. 2027in 3 Monaten

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

Marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeiten · Gesamter aufgezeichneter Verlauf

Ziehen zum Verschieben · Zwei-Finger-Geste oder ⌘/Strg+Scrollen zum Zoomen

Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.

Basierend auf den Preisen der möglichen Ergebnisse dieses Marktes, ausgedrückt als Wahrscheinlichkeiten.

Entscheidungsregeln

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Dieselbe Frage anderswo

2 Plattformen führen sie

Zusammengefasste Frage anzeigen →

Vergleichbar, nicht identisch. The markets have materially identical resolution criteria and sources; Limitless lists resolution at December 31, 2026, while Polymarket lists January 1, 2027 at 04:59 UTC (equivalent to December 31 at 11:59 PM ET).

LimitlessÖffnen →
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 9-10
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2 Halter · gelesen 29. Sept., 20:22 UTC
Polymarketdieser Markt
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
94 Halter · 0 Kommentare · gelesen 26. Sept., 22:01 UTC

Weitere Ausprägungen dieses Ereignisses

Eine Ausprägung allein führt in die Irre; die anderen stehen daneben.

Markt	Plattform	Preis	24h-Volumen	Liquidität	Geplantes Ende	Status
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	60 % Yes	583,9 $	—	—	Offen
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	98 % No	549,6 $	—	—	Offen
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	63 % No	519,5 $	—	—	Offen
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	100 % No	470,4 $	—	—	Offen
Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	100 % No	442,7 $	—	—	Offen

Aktivität auf der Plattform

Von der Plattform gelesen vor 3 Tagen

Halter94

Gehaltener Wert—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Offene Positionen—

Kommentare0

Bestes Gebot 0 % · bester Brief 1 %

Größte Halter

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296692753378379890594987579176391673387302955841522730684083658512551037210848334
Breakable-Bottomline65204571522376669216156468926130548981402705966424997350654016267021708775616
IronE65204571522376669216156468926130548981402705966424997350654016267021708775616
Academic-Forecast65204571522376669216156468926130548981402705966424997350654016267021708775616
planktonXD65204571522376669216156468926130548981402705966424997350654016267021708775616

Eine Momentaufnahme der Positionen, keine Erfolgsbilanz.

Letzte Trades

BUY0 %1,3 $vor 5 Tagen
BUY100 %4,3 $vor 6 Tagen
BUY100 %5 $vor 12 Tagen
SELL0 %0 $vor 13 Tagen
BUY0 %0,1 $vor 16 Tagen
BUY0 %0 $vor 18 Tagen

Diskussion auf Predxy

Was Predxys Leser von diesem Markt halten. Lesen kann jeder; schreiben, wer angemeldet ist. Die Diskussion der Plattform selbst, sofern es eine gibt, steht im Kasten darunter.

Melde dich an, um mitzudiskutieren.

Hier hat noch niemand etwas gesagt.

Stand 29. Sept., 23:06 UTC