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Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

No98 %

Yes2 %

Preis geprüft am 1. Okt., 04:29 UTC

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24h-Volumen10 $

7-Tage-Volumen851,6 $

30-Tage-Volumen1926,4 $

Liquidität3465,7 $

Spread2 %

Entscheidet sich1. Jan. 2027in 3 Monaten

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

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Entscheidungsregeln

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Vergleichbar, nicht identisch. The published resolution criteria are materially identical. Polymarket lists settlement at 2027-01-01 04:59 UTC, while Limitless lists 2026-12-31 00:00 UTC; this settlement-time difference does not change the underlying question.

Polymarketdieser Markt
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
124 Halter · 0 Kommentare · gelesen 25. Sept., 16:07 UTC
LimitlessÖffnen →
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026: 7-8
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
5 Halter · gelesen 1. Okt., 04:16 UTC

Weitere Ausprägungen dieses Ereignisses

Eine Ausprägung allein führt in die Irre; die anderen stehen daneben.

Markt	Plattform	Preis	24h-Volumen	Liquidität	Geplantes Ende	Status
Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	100 % No	—	—	—	Offen
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	62 % No	150,5 $	—	—	Offen
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	58 % Yes	125,6 $	—	—	Offen
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	99 % No	56 $	—	—	Offen
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	100 % No	30 $	—	—	Offen
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	100 % No	10,2 $	—	—	Offen
Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Polymarket	100 % No	10 $	—	—	Offen

Aktivität auf der Plattform

Von der Plattform gelesen vor 6 Tagen

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IronE1840177612036013575448372082807311040387833663832563938882269252171934676747
LornaPredicts1840177612036013575448372082807311040387833663832563938882269252171934676747
1walrus1840177612036013575448372082807311040387833663832563938882269252171934676747
Joe-Biden1840177612036013575448372082807311040387833663832563938882269252171934676747

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