Florida Governor: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 12% and 14%? Byron Donalds, 12-14%

If the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida is within 12% to 14%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Byron Donalds minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Byron Donalds if Byron Donalds wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Byron Donalds loses. If Byron Donalds wins, the margin will be positive; if Byron Donalds loses, the margin will be negative; if Byron Donalds ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Byron Donalds runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.