Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — Gavin Newsom

No85 %
Yes16 %

Preț verificat la

Tranzacționează
Setează-ți țara ca să vezi unde poți tranzacționa.Setează-ți țara →
Deschide platforma într-o filă nouă, prin Predxy.
Volum 24h—
Volum 7z—
Volum 30z—
Lichiditate—
Spread13 %
Se decide10 nov. 2028peste 2 ani

Istoricul probabilităților

Trage pentru a muta · ciupește sau ⌘/Ctrl+derulare pentru zoom

Istoricul probabilităților0%25%50%75%100%2 oct., 08:202 oct., 12:392 oct., 16:592 oct., 21:19

Nu există date înregistrate înainte de 2 oct. în această perioadă.

Pe baza prețurilor rezultatelor posibile ale acestei piețe, exprimate ca probabilități.

Reguli de decizie

This market will resolve on whether Gavin Newsom wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions](<https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba>). Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for Gavin Newsom. If all three sources have not called the race for Gavin Newsom by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Gavin Newsom is inaugurated. If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Gavin Newsom is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Otherwise, the market resolve to NO. This event is mutually exclusive.

Aceeași întrebare în altă parte

Vezi întrebarea combinată →
Comparabile, nu identice. PredictFun and Polymarket use AP, Fox News, and NBC and fall back to inauguration; Gemini uses the same three sources, with additional FEC and last-traded-price contingencies in an extreme unresolved case. Polymarket lists settlement at November 8, 2028, Gemini at November 10, 2028, while PredictFun gives no separate settlement timestamp.
  • PredictFunDeschide →

    Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

    The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

    citit 2 oct., 14:39 UTC

  • PolymarketDeschide →

    Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

    The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

    4,7 K deținători · 1 K comentarii · citit 2 oct., 00:56 UTC

  • Geminiaceastă piață

    Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — Gavin Newsom

    This market will resolve on whether Gavin Newsom wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions](<https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba>). Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for Gavin Newsom. If all three sources have not called the race for Gavin Newsom by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Gavin Newsom is inaugurated. If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Gavin Newsom is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Otherwise, the market resolve to NO. This event is mutually exclusive.

    citit 2 oct., 20:23 UTC

Celelalte variante ale acestui eveniment

Activitatea platformei

Deținători—
Valoare deținută—
Tranzacții (24h)—
Tranzacții—
Poziții deschise—
Comentarii0

Discuție pe Predxy

Autentifică-te ca să participi la discuție.

Nimeni nu a spus încă nimic aici.

La 2 oct., 21:23 UTC