Best AI model end of December 2026: DeepSeek

No100 %
Yes0 %

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Se decide31 dec. 2026peste 3 luni

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Istoricul probabilităților0%25%50%75%100%1 oct., 18:252 oct., 01:112 oct., 07:572 oct., 14:43

Nu există date înregistrate înainte de 1 oct. în această perioadă.

Pe baza prețurilor rezultatelor posibile ale acestei piețe, exprimate ca probabilități.

Reguli de decizie

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SursăPolymarket market will-deepseek-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026

Aceeași întrebare în altă parte

Vezi întrebarea combinată →
Comparabile, nu identice. Polymarket checks at December 31, 11:59 PM ET and accepts a tie for #1, while PredictFun checks at noon ET and applies score and alphabetical tiebreakers. Pascal publishes no separate criteria and points to Polymarket for resolution.
  • PolymarketDeschide →

    Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

    41 deținători · 0 comentarii · citit 30 sept., 19:24 UTC

  • PredictFunDeschide →

    Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

    This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

    citit 2 oct., 01:43 UTC

  • Pascalaceastă piață

    Best AI model end of December 2026: DeepSeek

    Platforma nu publică criterii de decizie pentru această piață.

    citit 2 oct., 14:34 UTC

Celelalte variante ale acestui eveniment

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Best AI model end of December 2026: MetaPascal99 % NoDeschisă
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La 2 oct., 14:43 UTC