Will Nathalie Arthaud appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Nathalie Arthaud77 %
No23 %

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Se decide30 iun. 2027peste 9 luni

Istoricul probabilităților

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Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.

Istoricul probabilităților0%25%50%75%100%7 sept.13 sept.19 sept.25 sept.2 oct.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.

Pe baza prețurilor rezultatelor posibile ale acestei piețe, exprimate ca probabilități.

Reguli de decizie

If Nathalie Arthaud is officially certified, approved, or confirmed to appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Aceeași întrebare în altă parte

Vezi întrebarea combinată →
Comparabile, nu identice. PredictFun and Polymarket specify fallback handling if the official list is unavailable, while Kalshi focuses on certification or confirmation by June 30, 2027; these are resolution-rule differences rather than different questions. Settlement times also differ, with PredictFun unspecified, Polymarket at April 18, 2027, and Kalshi at June 30, 2027.
  • PredictFunDeschide →

    Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

    The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    citit 1 oct., 19:33 UTC

  • PolymarketDeschide →

    Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

    The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    35 deținători · 103 comentarii · citit 29 sept., 08:06 UTC

  • Kalshiaceastă piață

    Will Nathalie Arthaud appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

    If Nathalie Arthaud is officially certified, approved, or confirmed to appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    citit 30 sept., 21:40 UTC

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La 2 oct., 05:11 UTC