Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
Preț verificat la
Istoricul probabilităților
Probabilități implicite ale pieței · Tot istoricul înregistratTrage pentru a muta · ciupește sau ⌘/Ctrl+derulare pentru zoom
Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.
Pe baza prețurilor rezultatelor posibile ale acestei piețe, exprimate ca probabilități.
Reguli de decizie
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year. Additionally, the following rules apply: If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year. If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year. For example, in 2025 when TIME Person of the Year was “Architects of AI” the option for Sam Altman would have resolved to “Yes” as he was associated with the concept and is pictured on the Cover. However, if Sam Altman were Person of the Year, and ChatGPT was shown on the cover, this would not qualify for ChatGPT because ChatGPT is not a person. If the TIME Person of the Year is a specific concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. artificial intelligence), listed concepts or entities will be considered Person of the Year only if they are synonymous with the announced TIME Person of the Year. For example, if ChatGPT were Person of the Year, options for AI or LLMs would resolve to “No” because, while they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous. If TIME uses language that does not refer to a specific, commonly-recognized, concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. 2011’s “The Protester” or 2017’s “The Silence Breakers”), the TIME Person of the Year feature article will be used to determine the meaning of the language defining TIME Person of the Year. In such cases, listed concepts, groups, or things will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they can be reasonably understood as equivalent to the meaning of the language used to define TIME Person of the Year. For example, the option for “The Me Too Movement” would have resolved to “Yes” in 2017. If for any reason the TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the 2026 TIME Person of the Year; however, the TIME Person of the Year Feature article may also be used.
Aceeași întrebare în altă parte
2 platforme o listează- OpinionDeschide →
TIME Person of the Year 2026 — Artificial Intelligence
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year. Additionally, the following rules apply: If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year. If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year. For example, in 2025 when TIME Person of the Year was “Architects of AI” the option for Sam Altman would have resolved to “Yes” as he was associated with the concept and is pictured on the Cover. However, if Sam Altman were Person of the Year, and ChatGPT was shown on the cover, this would not qualify for ChatGPT because ChatGPT is not a person. If the TIME Person of the Year is a specific concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. artificial intelligence), listed concepts or entities will be considered Person of the Year only if they are synonymous with the announced TIME Person of the Year. For example, if ChatGPT were Person of the Year, options for AI or LLMs would resolve to “No” because, while they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous. If TIME uses language that does not refer to a specific, commonly-recognized, concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. 2011’s “The Protester” or 2017’s “The Silence Breakers”), the TIME Person of the Year feature article will be used to determine the meaning of the language defining TIME Person of the Year. In such cases, listed concepts, groups, or things will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they can be reasonably understood as equivalent to the meaning of the language used to define TIME Person of the Year. For example, the option for “The Me Too Movement” would have resolved to “Yes” in 2017. If for any reason the TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the 2026 TIME Person of the Year; however, the TIME Person of the Year Feature article may also be used.
citit 30 sept., 16:35 UTC
- Polymarketaceastă piață
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year. Additionally, the following rules apply: If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year. If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year. For example, in 2025 when TIME Person of the Year was “Architects of AI” the option for Sam Altman would have resolved to “Yes” as he was associated with the concept and is pictured on the Cover. However, if Sam Altman were Person of the Year, and ChatGPT was shown on the cover, this would not qualify for ChatGPT because ChatGPT is not a person. If the TIME Person of the Year is a specific concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. artificial intelligence), listed concepts or entities will be considered Person of the Year only if they are synonymous with the announced TIME Person of the Year. For example, if ChatGPT were Person of the Year, options for AI or LLMs would resolve to “No” because, while they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous. If TIME uses language that does not refer to a specific, commonly-recognized, concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. 2011’s “The Protester” or 2017’s “The Silence Breakers”), the TIME Person of the Year feature article will be used to determine the meaning of the language defining TIME Person of the Year. In such cases, listed concepts, groups, or things will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they can be reasonably understood as equivalent to the meaning of the language used to define TIME Person of the Year. For example, the option for “The Me Too Movement” would have resolved to “Yes” in 2017. If for any reason the TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the 2026 TIME Person of the Year; however, the TIME Person of the Year Feature article may also be used.
24 deținători · 12 comentarii · citit 25 sept., 10:01 UTC
Celelalte variante ale acestui eveniment
O variantă citită singură induce în eroare; celelalte sunt alături.Activitatea platformei
Citit de la platformă acum 5 zileCel mai bun bid 94 % · cel mai bun ask 96 %
Cei mai mari deținători
- forinnerpsandr1x1122260537542713713601529185245948330524646096720864402189610194629124230954633492
- Spectrum78282672489367969582666988047951289226297202467077909016316452113439750431222
- WholeFawn127878282672489367969582666988047951289226297202467077909016316452113439750431222
- Sardonic-Prostacyclin78282672489367969582666988047951289226297202467077909016316452113439750431222
- alpheclabs60537542713713601529185245948330524646096720864402189610194629124230954633492
Un instantaneu al pozițiilor, nu un istoric de performanță.
Tranzacții recente
- SELL95 %0,2 USDacum 6 zile
- BUY5 %1,1 USDacum 6 zile
- BUY5 %1,1 USDacum 6 zile
- BUY5 %1,1 USDacum 6 zile
- BUY5 %1,1 USDacum 6 zile
- BUY6 %1,1 USDacum 6 zile
Discuție pe Predxy
Ce cred cititorii Predxy despre această piață. Toți pot citi; cititorii autentificați pot scrie. Discuția platformei, dacă există, este în caseta de mai jos.Autentifică-te ca să participi la discuție.
Nimeni nu a spus încă nimic aici.
11 comentarii
Din discuția proprie a Polymarket- enrico-vasaio · acum 9 zile
bruh, he's Epstein's nephew
- Little-Anguish · acum 9 zile
so, according to the Copilot AI overview: "The most recent TIME Person of the Year is Punch, a 7‑month‑old Japanese macaque, selected early for 2026" soMeOnE PRopOSe?? ;?
- TeeVee27 · acum 10 zile
He is at over 40 percent over on the other one
- RiseFromTheAshes · acum 12 zile
Give me a market for Mark Carney!
- TeeVee27 · acum 12 zile
They added him on FanDuel after I asked.
- YuliaKyiv · acum 12 zile
Add Mark Carney please 🇨🇦
- Probs · luna trecută
Y'all know who owns the Times right? The 🧃 will never allow mamdani to be person of the year.
- Donkoclock · acum 2 luni
Zohran!!
- MexicanGambler · acum 2 luni
I don't think so, he's been "loosing" value on these weeks, and theres no justification yet
- MrRobertHouse · acum 4 luni
Elon Musk will be the first trillionaire in history this year.
- joember · acum 4 luni
MP hajrá!
La 30 sept., 16:37 UTC