Iran leadership change by December 31?
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Pe baza prețurilor rezultatelor posibile ale acestei piețe, exprimate ca probabilități.
Reguli de decizie
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Celelalte variante ale acestui eveniment
O variantă citită singură induce în eroare; celelalte sunt alături.| Piață | Platformă | Preț | Stare |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by September 30? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Deschisă |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? | Polymarket | 98 % No | Deschisă |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Polymarket | 78 % No | Deschisă |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Polymarket | 95 % No | Deschisă |
Activitatea platformei
Citit de la platformă acum 3 zileCel mai bun bid 11 % · cel mai bun ask 12 %
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991 de comentarii
Din discuția proprie a Polymarket- David.Brown19 · acum 11 zile
prediсuе flagged low confidence on a signal today. i didn't enter. market crashed against everyone. thanks for being honest
- 12beduins · acum 12 zile
- Jatheripper · acum 15 zile
good luck killing the dead
- abdoohl · acum 19 zile
- Robbb · acum 2 luni
lol
- Prickly-Passport · acum 2 luni
Breaking:Mojtaba waked up !
- altdel · acum 2 luni
As always, just Iranian rumors. Take advantage while others are selling.
- Mikelious · acum 2 luni
BREAKING 🔴 Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei is in extremely critical condition and could pass away at any moment, two sources close to the Pezeshkian administration told IranWire.
- NOIZYUV · acum 2 luni
Mojtaba Khamenei's father-in-law, former Iranian Parliament Speaker Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel, in an interview with the Iranian IRNA agency: "For certain reasons, he is not in contact with any entity or person, hoping that he is healthy"
- Zubumafu · acum 2 luni
Better sell those 6K bro, they can't hide the fact that their leader is dead forever
- Treedud25 · acum 2 luni
Already over
- PMTraderAdam · acum 2 luni
In the city, 'member used to drive a Yukon
- Laurenman · acum 2 luni
Fact.
- GollumGekko · acum 2 luni
the dead cannot die
- Zubumafu · acum 2 luni
They will keep him as Zombie leader for the next 2-3 months and then replace him
- Zubumafu · acum 2 luni
He is likely dead, and if not, he will get assassinated, Trump is sick of him
- anonim · acum 2 luni
Can a dead person be a de facto leader? What would Saul Kripke think of this?
- NOIZYUV · acum 2 luni
The Saudi channel Al-Hadath claims, citing an Israeli security source: "Mojtaba Khamenei is not in Iran."
- NOIZYUV · acum 3 luni
As a ghost maybe
- Zubumafu · acum 3 luni
Yeah that one is free money, just sucks that it's going to be a while until we receive it
La 29 sept., 23:52 UTC