Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Preț verificat la
Istoricul probabilităților
Probabilități implicite ale pieței · Tot istoricul înregistratTrage pentru a muta · ciupește sau ⌘/Ctrl+derulare pentru zoom
Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.
Pe baza prețurilor rezultatelor posibile ale acestei piețe, exprimate ca probabilități.
Reguli de decizie
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Activitatea platformei
Citit de la platformă acum 4 zileCel mai bun bid 6 % · cel mai bun ask 7 %
Cei mai mari deținători
- Threadbare-Signal1291454874125024564913411658636854434792972068510027777552181749936579562639
- eeelliot1291454874125024564913411658636854434792972068510027777552181749936579562639
- aenews21291454874125024564913411658636854434792972068510027777552181749936579562639
- Erasmus.46036307473347147486878725188057240439237346445231099615680388314304154599904
- trumpishonest46036307473347147486878725188057240439237346445231099615680388314304154599904
Un instantaneu al pozițiilor, nu un istoric de performanță.
Tranzacții recente
- SELL5 %0 USDacum 4 zile
- SELL93 %651 USDacum 4 zile
- BUY6 %450 USDacum 4 zile
- BUY7 %8,1 USDacum 4 zile
- BUY95 %3,8 K USDacum 4 zile
- BUY6 %10 USDacum 4 zile
Discuție pe Predxy
Ce cred cititorii Predxy despre această piață. Toți pot citi; cititorii autentificați pot scrie. Discuția platformei, dacă există, este în caseta de mai jos.Autentifică-te ca să participi la discuție.
Nimeni nu a spus încă nimic aici.
66 de comentarii
Din discuția proprie a Polymarket- WillBeQuant · acum 14 zile
Aenews what you doing on the yes side here ?
- WillBeQuant · acum 14 zile
everybody that says this wants to sell you some bs only thing you can do is watch what top dogs in the leaderboard trade and do you own analysis copytrading never works
- whalterwhite · acum 29 de zile
from who?
- Stunning-Cloves · acum 2 luni
Half of cuba is filled with soldiers who would kill any navy member, marine etc. the other half is tired of living in a system where the united states is preventing them from getting basic necessities
- oldecho1099 · acum 2 luni
copy trading is the way.
- Stunning-Cloves · acum 2 luni
The united States is blocking essential electricity to hospitals and old people homes. A lot of people are dying.
- BillyRios · acum 4 luni
Buying yes at 23c
- Morphias · acum 4 luni
Invade? probably yes. Take control over the country? Definitely Not. The wording on this market is clear.
- LuHuLu · acum 4 luni
The biggest reason why trump wouldn't dare invade cuba is because cuba might throw a couple missiles back at florida before ultimately succumbing; and if any of those missiles land, trump's popularity goes in the toilet.
- 💰💰 · acum 4 luni
fake news
- aenews2 · acum 4 luni
Cuba has begun distributing weapons to civilians and urging citizens to prepare for a possible foreign invasion - CNN
- hlghwayman · acum 4 luni
Looks like diplomatic avenues are progressing? Cuban regime is much more complicated than Venezuela. Not only from a political perspective, but militarily too. The last time the US invaded a foreign island was in 1983.
- kevtp · acum 4 luni
It would count as an invasion if the soldier is there to establish control over the territory, and is not going to count if it's just a raid to inflict damage or kidnap someone, for instance. The smaller the force, and the shorter the stay on Cuban territory (just hours for instance), the less likely it will count as an invasion.
- WatchMeMakeIt · acum 4 luni
just as a clarification, does a shit helicopter landing 1 soldier on the ground count as an invasion? because they aready scammed us on the shitty iran market, which gain, theres no proof of what actually happened there but they counted it as a yes the bastards
- hugeinjapan · acum 4 luni
[link removed]
- aenews2 · acum 4 luni
If they hold territory, it would. Maduro did not.
- outkvst · acum 4 luni
JUST IN: US deploys aircraft carrier to the Caribbean as tensions with Cuba rise.
- Inchoroi · acum 5 luni
Does a Madr=ura-style kidnapping count a an invasion? Technically they controlled his compound when they grabbed him
- Black-Filth · acum 5 luni
Cuba's Energy Minister Vicente de la O Levy confirmed the country has exhausted all diesel and fuel oil reserves, with only limited domestic natural gas remaining for power generation. America Will Save Them lol🤭
- paddaa · acum 5 luni
what are they even gonna invade
La 29 sept., 23:17 UTC