Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
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This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
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Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. Created At: 2026-03-02T12:00:42.329575048Z
citit 30 sept., 15:59 UTC
- Polymarketaceastă piață
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
408 deținători · 123 comentarii · citit 28 sept., 01:26 UTC
Celelalte variante ale acestui eveniment
O variantă citită singură induce în eroare; celelalte sunt alături.| Piață | Platformă | Preț | Stare |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Deschisă |
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Deschisă |
| Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Deschisă |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Polymarket | 97 % Yes | Deschisă |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Polymarket | 98 % No | Deschisă |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Polymarket | 99 % No | Deschisă |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Deschisă |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Deschisă |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Deschisă |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Deschisă |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Deschisă |
| Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Polymarket | 100 % No | Deschisă |
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Nimeni nu a spus încă nimic aici.
110 comentarii
Din discuția proprie a Polymarket- PouringRain · acum 3 zile
Been trading this on perps too. Curious how everyone is positioning here. For anyone looking for it: 015ssr4c
- mous87- · acum 5 zile
market keeps hoping for cuts but polybro has been saying the same thing since summer and its not that
- verygoodhhh · acum 7 zile
with the
- jozeslemsek · acum 12 zile
Why is the pricing on this market misaligned with the "fed decision in december" market?
- RimROm · acum 19 zile
What would make the committee accelerate rather than pause?👹
- Happy-Fox-Lynx · acum 27 de zile
Fed cuts in 2026 with $50M total; polybro odds analysis shows a persistent gap vs CME FedWatch that keeps closing and reopening after data releases.
- Ozir · luna trecută
Surprise coming 😂
- Price031 · luna trecută
yes
- crshel2 · luna trecută
0 bps now and 15%, hmmm
- Linguine12 · acum 2 luni
Are people still looking for perps?
- Jeffrey-Einstein · acum 2 luni
no, jerome is the king of the world
- mkskstk1 · acum 2 luni
whats going on here?
- Stefnc · acum 2 luni
Changer la photo de Powell
- toneth · acum 2 luni
They dont update that picture cause Jpow printer go Burrrr
- Jeffrey-Einstein · acum 2 luni
wont happen in the same year, fed policy actions take anywhere between 8-12 months or even longer to realize their impact on the economy, therefore it would be premature to do anything until you see what your cuts or hikes are doing to the economy
- LA17 · acum 2 luni
yes
- Downright-Underground · acum 2 luni
If the Fed raises interest rates by 25 basis points and then cuts rates by 25 basis points, is this regarded as one rate cut?
- chessbot · acum 2 luni
You are a very good boy
- Cryptostradamus · acum 2 luni
If I'm so delusional, then why am I up 4x on my account since I started polymarket last February, while you're down badly?
- chessbot · acum 2 luni
Uhm, actually the betting on No's has been a recent strategy switch which has been quite profitable as thankfully there exists delusional people like yourself. For the moment there are no markets where I have any tangible advantage so I just hold some relatively safe bets
La 30 sept., 18:25 UTC