Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No100 %
Yes0 %

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Volum 24h94,2 USD
Volum 7z6,6 K USD
Volum 30z194,8 K USD
Lichiditate243,6 K USD
Spread0 %
Se decide1 ian. 2027peste 3 luni

Istoricul probabilităților

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Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.

Istoricul probabilităților0%25%50%75%100%2 sept.9 sept.16 sept.23 sept.30 sept.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.

Pe baza prețurilor rezultatelor posibile ale acestei piețe, exprimate ca probabilități.

Reguli de decizie

This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

Aceeași întrebare în altă parte

Vezi întrebarea combinată →
Comparabile, nu identice. Polymarket lists a resolution time of January 1, 2027, while PredictFun does not publish one, but both criteria specify observing cuts through December 31, 2026. No material resolution-criteria difference is stated.
  • Polymarketaceastă piață

    Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

    This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

    695 deținători · 122 comentarii · citit 27 sept., 22:06 UTC

  • PredictFunDeschide →

    Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

    This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. Created At: 2026-03-02T12:00:42.163245031Z

    citit 30 sept., 06:01 UTC

Celelalte variante ale acestui eveniment

PiațăPlatformăPrețStare
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Polymarket100 % NoDeschisă
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Polymarket100 % NoDeschisă
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Polymarket100 % NoDeschisă
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Polymarket100 % NoDeschisă
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Polymarket97 % YesDeschisă
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Polymarket99 % NoDeschisă
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Polymarket98 % NoDeschisă
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Polymarket100 % NoDeschisă
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Polymarket100 % NoDeschisă
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Polymarket100 % NoDeschisă
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Polymarket100 % NoDeschisă
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Polymarket100 % NoDeschisă

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110 comentarii

Comentariile aparțin evenimentului platformei, nu acestui rezultat. Toate variantele aceluiași eveniment împart acest fir.
  • PouringRain · acum 3 zile

    Been trading this on perps too. Curious how everyone is positioning here. For anyone looking for it: 015ssr4c

  • mous87- · acum 5 zile

    market keeps hoping for cuts but polybro has been saying the same thing since summer and its not that

  • verygoodhhh · acum 6 zile

    with the

  • jozeslemsek · acum 12 zile

    Why is the pricing on this market misaligned with the "fed decision in december" market?

  • RimROm · acum 19 zile

    What would make the committee accelerate rather than pause?👹

  • Happy-Fox-Lynx · acum 27 de zile

    Fed cuts in 2026 with $50M total; polybro odds analysis shows a persistent gap vs CME FedWatch that keeps closing and reopening after data releases.

  • Ozir · luna trecută

    Surprise coming 😂

  • Price031 · luna trecută

    yes

  • crshel2 · luna trecută

    0 bps now and 15%, hmmm

  • Linguine12 · acum 2 luni

    Are people still looking for perps?

  • Jeffrey-Einstein · acum 2 luni

    no, jerome is the king of the world

  • mkskstk1 · acum 2 luni

    whats going on here?

  • Stefnc · acum 2 luni

    Changer la photo de Powell

  • toneth · acum 2 luni

    They dont update that picture cause Jpow printer go Burrrr

  • Jeffrey-Einstein · acum 2 luni

    wont happen in the same year, fed policy actions take anywhere between 8-12 months or even longer to realize their impact on the economy, therefore it would be premature to do anything until you see what your cuts or hikes are doing to the economy

  • LA17 · acum 2 luni

    yes

  • Downright-Underground · acum 2 luni

    If the Fed raises interest rates by 25 basis points and then cuts rates by 25 basis points, is this regarded as one rate cut?

  • chessbot · acum 2 luni

    You are a very good boy

  • Cryptostradamus · acum 2 luni

    If I'm so delusional, then why am I up 4x on my account since I started polymarket last February, while you're down badly?

  • chessbot · acum 2 luni

    Uhm, actually the betting on No's has been a recent strategy switch which has been quite profitable as thankfully there exists delusional people like yourself. For the moment there are no markets where I have any tangible advantage so I just hold some relatively safe bets

La 30 sept., 15:30 UTC