KalshiOffenTeil einer plattformübergreifenden Frage →

Will Josh Shapiro be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

No97 %

Josh Shapiro3 %

Preis geprüft am 2. Okt., 01:32 UTC

Handeln

Lege dein Land fest, um zu sehen, wo du handeln kannst.Land festlegen →

Öffnet die Plattform in einem neuen Tab, über Predxy.

24h-Volumen38,3 $

7-Tage-Volumen—

30-Tage-Volumen—

Liquidität—

Spread1 %

Entscheidet sich7. Nov. 2028in 2 Jahren

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

Marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeiten · Gesamter aufgezeichneter Verlauf

Ziehen zum Verschieben · Zwei-Finger-Geste oder ⌘/Strg+Scrollen zum Zoomen

Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.

Basierend auf den Preisen der möglichen Ergebnisse dieses Marktes, ausgedrückt als Wahrscheinlichkeiten.

Entscheidungsregeln

If Josh Shapiro accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Dieselbe Frage anderswo

2 Plattformen führen sie

Zusammengefasste Frage anzeigen →

Vergleichbar, nicht identisch. Polymarket specifies the first formally nominated individual who accepts, uses official Democratic sources, and ignores later replacement; Kalshi only states that acceptance of the nomination resolves Yes. These are resolution-rule differences rather than materially different questions.

PolymarketÖffnen →
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
33 Halter · 0 Kommentare · gelesen 29. Sept., 05:19 UTC
Kalshidieser Markt
Will Josh Shapiro be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
If Josh Shapiro accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
gelesen 1. Okt., 20:50 UTC

Weitere Ausprägungen dieses Ereignisses

Eine Ausprägung allein führt in die Irre; die anderen stehen daneben.

Markt	Plattform	Preis	24h-Volumen	Liquidität	Geplantes Ende	Status
Will Michelle Obama be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	97 % No	5570,6 $	—	—	Offen
2028 Democratic VP nominee: Will Elissa Slotkin be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	89 % No	2948 $	—	—	Offen
Will Rahm Emanuel be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	99 % No	1442,9 $	—	—	Offen
2028 Democratic VP nominee: Will Mark Kelly be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	94 % No	337,2 $	—	—	Offen
Will Roy Cooper be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	99 % No	312,1 $	—	—	Offen
Will Mark Cuban be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	100 % No	305,4 $	—	—	Offen
Will Ro Khanna be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	98 % No	254,7 $	—	—	Offen
Will Kamala Harris be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	99 % No	207,7 $	—	—	Offen
Will Pete Buttigieg be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	92 % No	189,3 $	—	—	Offen
Will Jared Polis be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	99 % No	160,6 $	—	—	Offen
Will J.B. Pritzker be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	100 % No	133,1 $	—	—	Offen
Will Ruben Gallego be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	100 % No	129,6 $	—	—	Offen
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	91 % No	110,8 $	—	—	Offen
Will Phil Murphy be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	99 % No	108,6 $	—	—	Offen
Will Raphael Warnock be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	97 % No	107,1 $	—	—	Offen
Will Beto O'Rourke be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	99 % No	93,5 $	—	—	Offen
Will John Fetterman be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	100 % No	51 $	—	—	Offen
Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	96 % No	21,8 $	—	—	Offen
2028 Democratic VP nominee: Will Jon Ossoff be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	95 % No	21,5 $	—	—	Offen
Will James Talarico be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	96 % No	20,9 $	—	—	Offen
Will Wes Moore be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	93 % No	13,9 $	—	—	Offen
Will Lebron James be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	99 % No	0 $	—	—	Offen
Will Elizabeth Warren be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	99 % No	0 $	—	—	Offen
Will Amy Klobuchar be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	99 % No	0 $	—	—	Offen
Will Tim Walz be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	100 % No	0 $	—	—	Offen

Aktivität auf der Plattform

Von der Plattform gelesen vor 5 Stunden

Halter—

Gehaltener Wert—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Offene Positionen—

Kommentare0

Diskussion auf Predxy

Was Predxys Leser von diesem Markt halten. Lesen kann jeder; schreiben, wer angemeldet ist. Die Diskussion der Plattform selbst, sofern es eine gibt, steht im Kasten darunter.

Melde dich an, um mitzudiskutieren.

Hier hat noch niemand etwas gesagt.

Stand 2. Okt., 01:52 UTC