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KalshiOffenTeil einer plattformübergreifenden Frage →

2028 Democratic VP nominee: Will Hunter Biden be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

No99 %
Hunter Biden1 %

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Entscheidet sich7. Nov. 2028in 2 Jahren

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Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf0%25%50%75%100%7. Sept.13. Sept.19. Sept.24. Sept.30. Sept.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.

Basierend auf den Preisen der möglichen Ergebnisse dieses Marktes, ausgedrückt als Wahrscheinlichkeiten.

Entscheidungsregeln

If Hunter Biden accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Dieselbe Frage anderswo

Zusammengefasste Frage anzeigen →
Vergleichbar, nicht identisch. Kalshi settles around November 7, 2028, while Polymarket settles around November 8, 2028; this settlement-time difference does not change the question. Polymarket specifies formal nomination, acceptance, official-party-source consensus, and replacement rules; Kalshi provides a simpler acceptance-based criterion, with no material difference apparent for the stated event.
  • Kalshidieser Markt

    2028 Democratic VP nominee: Will Hunter Biden be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

    If Hunter Biden accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

    gelesen 29. Sept., 23:10 UTC

  • PolymarketÖffnen →

    Will Hunter Biden be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

    This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

    34 Halter · 0 Kommentare · gelesen 29. Sept., 06:23 UTC

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