Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) be in the next Swedish government?
Preis geprüft am
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeiten · Gesamter aufgezeichneter VerlaufZiehen zum Verschieben · Zwei-Finger-Geste oder ⌘/Strg+Scrollen zum Zoomen
Schattierte Zeiträume haben keine erfolgreiche stündliche Preisprüfung.
Basierend auf den Preisen der möglichen Ergebnisse dieses Marktes, ausgedrückt als Wahrscheinlichkeiten.
Entscheidungsregeln
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
Weitere Ausprägungen dieses Ereignisses
Eine Ausprägung allein führt in die Irre; die anderen stehen daneben.| Markt | Plattform | Preis | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | Polymarket | 75 % Yes | Offen |
| Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government? | Polymarket | 79 % No | Offen |
| Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? | Polymarket | 85 % No | Offen |
| Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government? | Polymarket | 64 % Yes | Offen |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government? | Polymarket | 79 % No | Offen |
| Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government? | Polymarket | 76 % No | Offen |
| Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government? | Polymarket | 55 % No | Offen |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government? | Polymarket | 93 % No | Offen |
Aktivität auf der Plattform
Von der Plattform gelesen vor 7 TagenBestes Gebot 0 % · bester Brief 0 %
Größte Halter
- Dreamwire98946278054462060274758858674246320982915204454574901555164867737510118803448
- fiter115547610112506056928951390288939254685248875809470103900330273652387444616177
- LornaPredicts115547610112506056928951390288939254685248875809470103900330273652387444616177
- 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.115547610112506056928951390288939254685248875809470103900330273652387444616177
- Mustwiner115547610112506056928951390288939254685248875809470103900330273652387444616177
Eine Momentaufnahme der Positionen, keine Erfolgsbilanz.
Letzte Trades
- BUY100 %136,6 $vor 8 Tagen
- SELL99 %85,3 $vor 9 Tagen
- SELL0 %0,1 $vor 12 Tagen
- SELL0 %0 $vor 12 Tagen
- BUY100 %1846,3 $vor 13 Tagen
- BUY100 %323 $vor 13 Tagen
Diskussion auf Predxy
Was Predxys Leser von diesem Markt halten. Lesen kann jeder; schreiben, wer angemeldet ist. Die Diskussion der Plattform selbst, sofern es eine gibt, steht im Kasten darunter.Melde dich an, um mitzudiskutieren.
Hier hat noch niemand etwas gesagt.
26 Kommentare
Aus dem eigenen Thread von Polymarket- TheSwedishWolf · vor 6 Stunden
- muppet-master · gestern
Det kanske jag gör... om C och SD inte är kompatibla så ser jag ingen lösning.
- OllonPiercing · gestern
det finns absolut en möjlighet, men du verkar underskatta hur starkt C tar avstånd från SD
- muppet-master · gestern
SD är vana att ej ha ministrar, de lägger sig. C kommer acceptera inflytande från SD. Hur skulle S regering se ut?
- TheSwedishWolf · gestern
- OllonPiercing · gestern
det är ändå mer troligt än att m lyckas bilda regering med stöd från C
- betbuilder · gestern
Det kommer hända saker vartefter talmannen avverkar statsministeromröstningar. Det var liknande läge 2018.
- muppet-master · gestern
Does anyone with IQ over 70 think Socialdemokraterna (S) will create a government?! Really?! S and V pretty much are in war right now 🤣🤣🤣😂😂😂
- vinii · vorgestern
- OllonPiercing · vorgestern
in other words - this shit will take a long time
- TheSwedishWolf · vorgestern
Magdalena Andersson (Social Democrats) has returned her mandate to try to form a government, saying that she currently sees no possibility of forming one. She specifically pointed to the Left Party’s position as the reason for ending her attempt. This does not mean she is permanently out of the running for Prime Minister — she could return later if the political situation changes. For now, the government formation process goes back to the Speaker, who will decide who gets the next attempt.
- vinii · vorgestern
- TheSwedishWolf · vor 3 Tagen
- TheSwedishWolf · vor 3 Tagen
Not after the latest scandals. Most likely they will be outside the government this election.
- vinii · vor 4 Tagen
V has the cards if they refuse is over
- vinii · vor 4 Tagen
Im betting or a goverment with V or snap elections/ no deal by january 31
- vinii · vor 4 Tagen
V in the goverment or snap elections.
- muppet-master · vor 4 Tagen
Ok, I did not know that, I think they could/should demand more being kingmaker/vågmästare. V won't agree to that. Their members voted to not let a S government through without getting any V ministers. I think that V leadership can't break that since it would be to piss their members in their faces.
- OllonPiercing · vor 4 Tagen
The center party has been clear about them being willing to allow an S or S + MP coalition. If V actually agrees on not being in government, they might demand C not being in it either, which C might agree to.
- muppet-master · vor 5 Tagen
Spoiler: The Center Party (C) is the Kkngmaker/vågmästare party. If C dont get into S governent then they just switch to M government. 100% guaranteed C will be in goverment.
Stand 29. Sept., 23:54 UTC