Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms — R Senate, D House

30 %Yes
0 ppîn 24hPonderat după volum pe 2 din 4 platforme
Volum 24h32,4 K USD
Volum total2,5 mil. USD
Piețe44 platforme, 2 cu preț
Se decide3 nov. 2026luna viitoare
Văzută prima dată2 sept. 2026
Urmăresc0

Din ediția Azi · 30 sept. 2026

A typical photograph shows the U.S. Capitol building in Washington, D.C., where Congress meets.
Fotografie ilustrativă · Martin Falbisoner, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons ↗

This question asks whether Republicans will control the Senate while Democrats control the House after the 2026 midterm elections. It is scheduled to resolve after the November 3, 2026 federal general election, when the relevant House and Senate races have been called; the result is not yet determined on September 30. [1] In the latest developments, AP reports that Democratic enthusiasm is rising, but the party faces difficult Senate terrain and limited room for error, while Republicans retain major spending advantages in competitive states such as Texas. [2] AP also reports that Republican-backed redistricting in Texas and Florida has altered House battlegrounds, though several contests are proving more competitive than Republicans expected. [3] Earlier, Republicans’ Senate outlook became less secure as Georgia and North Carolina appeared less favorable, shifting attention to defending other seats; Democrats would still need to gain multiple Republican-held seats to take the chamber. [4] Early voting has begun in some states, but the decisive voting and subsequent race calls remain ahead of the deadline. [5]

Context de Predxy AI · · în engleză

  1. 1. FEC | Election and voting information ↗ fec.gov
  2. 2. Democrats want a blue wave. New Hampshire is Exhibit A for why that may not happen ↗ apnews.com
  3. 3. Republican redistricting in Texas and Florida may not turn out as Trump had hoped ↗ apnews.com
  4. 4. GOP doubts about Georgia and North Carolina have Republicans shifting focus in battle for Senate ↗ apnews.com
  5. 5. Early voting begins in US midterm elections that could flip control of Congress ↗ apnews.com

Context documentat de AI, cu surse. Nu explică și nu prezice mișcările pieței.

Istoricul probabilităților

Deschide piața →

Trage pentru a muta · ciupește sau ⌘/Ctrl+derulare pentru zoom

Istoricul probabilităților0%25%50%75%100%2 sept.9 sept.17 sept.24 sept.2 oct.

Pe baza prețurilor pieței de pe Polymarket. Acestea pot diferi de probabilitatea combinată Predxy de mai sus.

Unde se tranzacționează această întrebare

Comparabile, nu identice. Fiecare platformă formulează întrebarea și regulile de decizie în felul ei: data decontării, sursa adevărului și cazurile-limită pot diferi. Citește regulile fiecărei platforme înainte să tratezi două prețuri ca fiind același lucru.

Mai mult din Politică

Vezi categoria →
  1. 1Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    42 %Yes5 pp
  2. 2Which party will win the U.S. House?: Will Republicans win the House in 2026? Republican Party
    9 %Republican Party0 pp
  3. 3Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    58 %Yes4 pp
  4. 4Which party will win the U.S. Senate?: Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026? Democratic Party
    62 %Democratic Party1 pp
  5. 5Texas Senate winner?: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Texas? James Talarico
    65 %James Talarico3 pp

La 2 oct., 11:02 UTC · Prețurile piețelor nu sunt certitudini.