Fed decision in October: 50+ bps cut

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Se decide28 oct. 2026peste 26 de zile

Istoricul probabilităților

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Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.

Istoricul probabilităților0%25%50%75%100%2 oct., 00:432 oct., 04:292 oct., 08:142 oct., 12:00Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.

Nu există date înregistrate înainte de 2 oct. în această perioadă.

Pe baza prețurilor rezultatelor posibile ale acestei piețe, exprimate ca probabilități.

Reguli de decizie

Platforma nu publică criterii de decizie pentru această piață.

SursăPolymarket market will-the-fed-decrease-interest-rates-by-50-bps-after-the-october-2026-meeting-20260617190324029

Aceeași întrebare în altă parte

Vezi întrebarea combinată →
Comparabile, nu identice. The venues have different displayed resolution times, but this is immaterial because the relevant October FOMC statement determines the outcome. Pascal cites the Polymarket market and publishes no separate criteria; no material resolution difference is apparent.
  • LimitlessDeschide →

    Fed Decision in October: 50+ bps decrease

    The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm . The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm . This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

    2 deținători · citit 2 oct., 11:43 UTC

  • PolymarketDeschide →

    Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

    The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

    378 deținători · 0 comentarii · citit 2 oct., 09:59 UTC

  • Pascalaceastă piață

    Fed decision in October: 50+ bps cut

    Platforma nu publică criterii de decizie pentru această piață.

    citit 2 oct., 12:09 UTC

Celelalte variante ale acestui eveniment

PiațăPlatformăPrețStare
Fed decision in October: 25 bps hikePascal76 % NoDeschisă
Fed decision in October: 25 bps cutPascal99 % NoDeschisă
Fed decision in October: No changePascal75 % YesDeschisă
Fed decision in October: 50+ bps hikePascal100 % NoDeschisă

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La 2 oct., 12:18 UTC