Anthropic lab leak by...: June 30, 2027

No92 %
Yes9 %

Preț verificat la

Tranzacționează
Setează-ți țara ca să vezi unde poți tranzacționa.Setează-ți țara →
Deschide platforma într-o filă nouă, prin Predxy.
Volum 24h—
Volum 7z—
Volum 30z—
Lichiditate—
Spread—
Se decide1 iul. 2027peste 9 luni

Istoricul probabilităților

Trage pentru a muta · ciupește sau ⌘/Ctrl+derulare pentru zoom

Istoricul probabilităților0%25%50%75%100%30 sept., 12:2730 sept., 19:551 oct., 03:221 oct., 10:50

Nu există date înregistrate înainte de 30 sept. în această perioadă.

Pe baza prețurilor rezultatelor posibile ale acestei piețe, exprimate ca probabilități.

Reguli de decizie

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Confirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required. Investigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Aceeași întrebare în altă parte

Vezi întrebarea combinată →
Comparabile, nu identice. Resolution criteria have not been compared by a person yet. Venues may settle this question on different sources or dates.
  • PolymarketDeschide →

    Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Confirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required. Investigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

  • Limitlessaceastă piață

    Anthropic lab leak by...: June 30, 2027

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Confirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required. Investigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

    0 deținători · citit 1 oct., 10:15 UTC

Celelalte variante ale acestui eveniment

PiațăPlatformăPrețStare
Anthropic lab leak by...: December 31, 2026Limitless97 % NoDeschisă

Activitatea platformei

Deținători0
Valoare deținută—
Tranzacții (24h)—
Tranzacții—
Poziții deschise—
Comentarii0

Cel mai bun bid 7 % · cel mai bun ask 10 %

Discuție pe Predxy

Autentifică-te ca să participi la discuție.

Nimeni nu a spus încă nimic aici.

La 1 oct., 10:51 UTC