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CA-11 House election: Scott Wiener vote percent: Will Scott Wiener receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-11 House election?

At least 50%74 %
No27 %

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Se decide3 ian. 2027peste 3 luni

Istoricul probabilităților

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Istoricul probabilităților0%25%50%75%100%29 sept., 03:3629 sept., 13:5030 sept., 00:0330 sept., 10:17

Pe baza prețurilor rezultatelor posibile ale acestei piețe, exprimate ca probabilități.

Reguli de decizie

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Scott Wiener in the 2026 CA-11 House election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Scott Wiener ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

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La 30 sept., 10:35 UTC