PolymarketDeschisă

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 1?

No98 %
Yes2 %

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Spread1 %
Se decide1 oct. 2026peste 22 de ore

Istoricul probabilităților

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Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.

Istoricul probabilităților0%25%50%75%100%29 sept., 03:3529 sept., 15:0930 sept., 02:4330 sept., 14:17Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.

Pe baza prețurilor rezultatelor posibile ale acestei piețe, exprimate ca probabilități.

Reguli de decizie

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Sursăhttps://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb

Celelalte variante ale acestui eveniment

PiațăPlatformăPrețStare
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 1?Polymarket80 % NoDeschisă
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Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 1?Polymarket91 % NoDeschisă
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Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on October 1?Polymarket99 % NoDeschisă
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Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 1?Polymarket96 % NoDeschisă
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 1?Polymarket97 % NoDeschisă

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La 30 sept., 14:22 UTC