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Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29?: Will Republicans receive above 42% of the vote among voters aged 18-29 in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

No88 %
Above 42%13 %

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Se decide6 feb. 2027peste 4 luni

Istoricul probabilităților

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Istoricul probabilităților0%25%50%75%100%25 sept.26 sept.27 sept.28 sept.30 sept.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.

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Reguli de decizie

If the Republican share of the vote among voters aged 18-29 in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 42%, then the market resolves to Yes. The value is the percentage shown in the Republican (or Rep.) column of the aggregate 18-29 age row, not a row further divided by race or gender, in the national U.S. House exit poll table. The primary resolution source is the CNN figure displayed at exactly 12:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026. If unavailable, CNN remains the primary source for 24 hours after that time. If it remains unavailable, use CBS News followed by ABC News through 11:59 PM ET on November 7, 2026.

Celelalte variante ale acestui eveniment

PiațăPlatformăPrețStare
Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29?: Will Republicans receive above 44% of the vote among voters aged 18-29 in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Kalshi93 % NoDeschisă
Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29?: Will Republicans receive above 36% of the vote among voters aged 18-29 in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Kalshi71 % NoDeschisă
Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29?: Will Republicans receive above 38% of the vote among voters aged 18-29 in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Kalshi77 % NoDeschisă
Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29?: Will Republicans receive above 40% of the vote among voters aged 18-29 in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Kalshi82 % NoDeschisă
Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29?: Will Republicans receive above 34% of the vote among voters aged 18-29 in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Kalshi65 % NoDeschisă
Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29?: Will Republicans receive above 32% of the vote among voters aged 18-29 in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Kalshi52 % Above 32%Deschisă
Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29?: Will Republicans receive above 30% of the vote among voters aged 18-29 in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Kalshi69 % Above 30%Deschisă
Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29?: Will Republicans receive above 28% of the vote among voters aged 18-29 in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Kalshi85 % Above 28%Deschisă

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La 30 sept., 04:14 UTC