Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?
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Istoricul probabilităților
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Reguli de decizie
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait for all days from September 28, 2026, through October 4, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.
Sursăhttps://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c
Celelalte variante ale acestui eveniment
O variantă citită singură induce în eroare; celelalte sunt alături.| Piață | Platformă | Preț | Stare |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4? | Polymarket | 92 % No | Deschisă |
| Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4? | Polymarket | 60 % No | Deschisă |
| Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4? | Polymarket | 88 % No | Deschisă |
| Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4? | Polymarket | 96 % No | Deschisă |
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La 2 oct., 12:26 UTC