KalshiDeschisă

Serbian parliamentary election: Student List vote share?: Will Student List - Students Win receive at least 46% of valid votes in Serbia's 2026 parliamentary election?

No61 %
At least 46%39 %

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Se decide25 ian. 2027peste 4 luni

Istoricul probabilităților

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Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.

Istoricul probabilităților0%25%50%75%100%22 sept.24 sept.26 sept.28 sept.1 oct.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.

Pe baza prețurilor rezultatelor posibile ale acestei piețe, exprimate ca probabilități.

Reguli de decizie

If the Student List - Students Win share of valid votes in RIK’s first non-preliminary nationwide general report covering all polling stations, rounded to two decimal places is at least 46% in the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes. The value is the Student List - Students Win percentage of valid votes in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election. It is calculated as 100 × the list’s vote count divided by the total valid-ballot count in RIK’s first non-preliminary nationwide general report covering all polling stations, rounded to two decimal places, with exact halfway values rounded up. Preliminary or partial tallies do not qualify. A displayed percentage calculated using all ballots cast is not used; invalid, spoiled and rejected ballots are excluded from this market’s denominator. This explicitly selects the nationwide general report under POLITICALSTAT’s release-selection provision. Later revisions, corrections or updates to that report do not affect resolution. If no qualifying report is released by expiration, the contract’s last-fair-price rule applies.

Celelalte variante ale acestui eveniment

PiațăPlatformăPrețStare
Serbian parliamentary election: Student List vote share?: Will Student List - Students Win receive at least 50% of valid votes in Serbia's 2026 parliamentary election?Kalshi86 % NoDeschisă
Serbian parliamentary election: Student List vote share?: Will Student List - Students Win receive at least 42% of valid votes in Serbia's 2026 parliamentary election?Kalshi51 % NoDeschisă
Serbian parliamentary election: Student List vote share?: Will Student List - Students Win receive at least 30% of valid votes in Serbia's 2026 parliamentary election?Kalshi92 % At least 30%Deschisă
Serbian parliamentary election: Student List vote share?: Will Student List - Students Win receive at least 34% of valid votes in Serbia's 2026 parliamentary election?Kalshi85 % At least 34%Deschisă
Serbian parliamentary election: Student List vote share?: Will Student List - Students Win receive at least 38% of valid votes in Serbia's 2026 parliamentary election?Kalshi55 % At least 38%Deschisă
Serbian parliamentary election: Student List vote share?: Will Student List - Students Win receive at least 58% of valid votes in Serbia's 2026 parliamentary election?Kalshi94 % NoDeschisă
Serbian parliamentary election: Student List vote share?: Will Student List - Students Win receive at least 54% of valid votes in Serbia's 2026 parliamentary election?Kalshi92 % NoDeschisă

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La 1 oct., 00:52 UTC