Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in CA-40 be at least 30 percentage points? Ken Calvert, 30+ pts
Preț verificat la
Istoricul probabilităților
Probabilități implicite ale pieței · Tot istoricul înregistratTrage pentru a muta · ciupește sau ⌘/Ctrl+derulare pentru zoom
Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.
Pe baza prețurilor rezultatelor posibile ale acestei piețe, exprimate ca probabilități.
Reguli de decizie
If Ken Calvert wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 40th District by 30 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Ken Calvert minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ken Calvert if Ken Calvert wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Ken Calvert loses. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ken Calvert runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Ken Calvert will be summed. If Ken Calvert wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Ken Calvert loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Ken Calvert ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Ken Calvert is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).
Celelalte variante ale acestui eveniment
O variantă citită singură induce în eroare; celelalte sunt alături.Activitatea platformei
Citit de la platformă acum 12 oreDiscuție pe Predxy
Ce cred cititorii Predxy despre această piață. Toți pot citi; cititorii autentificați pot scrie. Discuția platformei, dacă există, este în caseta de mai jos.Autentifică-te ca să participi la discuție.
Nimeni nu a spus încă nimic aici.
La 1 oct., 23:46 UTC