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Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that designates June 14, the birthday of President Donald J. Trump, as a legal public holiday for federal employees become law before Jan 1, 2027? Trump's Birthday as a federal holiday

No100 %
Trump's Birthday as a federal holiday0 %

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Se decide1 ian. 2027peste 3 luni

Istoricul probabilităților

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Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.

Istoricul probabilităților0%25%50%75%100%7 sept.13 sept.18 sept.24 sept.29 sept.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.

Pe baza prețurilor rezultatelor posibile ale acestei piețe, exprimate ca probabilități.

Reguli de decizie

If legislation that designates June 14, the birthday of President Donald J. Trump, as a legal public holiday for federal employees has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Clarification: 'FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)' (KXBILLS-FISA) resolves to Yes only if FISA Section 702 is reauthorized for exactly two years, as in the provided example (Public Law 118-49). A reauthorization for any other duration would not qualify. Clarification: To be clear, legislation that appropriates funds for security adjustments and upgrades relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, a project that includes the construction of a presidential ballroom, constitutes legislation that "authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom," even if the funds are restricted to security elements of that construction.

Celelalte variante ale acestui eveniment

PiațăPlatformăPrețStare
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation principally aimed at establishing a federal framework for college sports, including through NIL preemption, antitrust treatment of association rules, athlete-compensation standards, student-athlete protections, or employment-status rules become law before Jan 1, 2027? College sports federalizationKalshi50 % NoDeschisă
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that pairs enhanced border security and mandatory E-Verify with asylum system reforms and an earned legal status program (without a path to citizenship) for certain long-term undocumented immigrants become law before Jan 1, 2027? Dignity ActKalshi89 % NoDeschisă
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that limits out-of-pocket costs for insulin for privately insured patients to no more than $40 per month, per 30-day supply, or equivalent monthly period become law before Jan 1, 2027? Insulin cost capKalshi90 % NoDeschisă
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that imposes enhanced federal safety requirements on freight rail carriers and trains transporting hazardous materials (e.g., mandates for wayside defect detectors, two-person crews, tank car safety standards, and state emergency notification) become law before Jan 1, 2027? Railway safety billKalshi87 % NoDeschisă
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that allows year-round nationwide sale of E15 fuel by extending the Clean Air Act Reid Vapor Pressure waiver to ethanol blends up to 15% become law before Jan 1, 2027? E15 year-round salesKalshi95 % NoDeschisă
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that conditions eligibility for Department of Defense contracts on covered contractors refraining from stock buybacks become law before Jan 1, 2027? Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictionsKalshi65 % NoDeschisă
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that amends the Food and Nutrition Act of 2008 by modifying the statutory definition of “food” (eligible for purchase with SNAP benefits) to specifically include “hot rotisserie chicken” become law before Jan 1, 2027? Hot Rotisserie Chicken ActKalshi84 % NoDeschisă
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that prohibits data center power usage from increasing consumers' electric utility bills become law before Jan 1, 2027? Data center utility cost protectionKalshi84 % NoDeschisă
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that establishes a federal intellectual-property right protecting individuals’ voices and visual likenesses from unauthorized digital replicas become law before Jan 1, 2027? NO FAKES ActKalshi84 % NoDeschisă
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that bars government agencies or private entities from using ADS-B aircraft-tracking data to identify aircraft for the purpose of obtaining revenue from the aircraft owner or operator without consent become law before Jan 1, 2027? ADS-B revenue-use restrictionKalshi70 % NoDeschisă
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation principally aimed at strengthening federal efforts to protect Jewish Americans from antisemitism, including through civil-rights enforcement, physical security support, threat monitoring, or online-platform transparency become law before Jan 1, 2027? Jewish American securityKalshi93 % NoDeschisă
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that imposes an annual federal registration fee on electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles, with the revenue dedicated to the Highway Trust Fund become law before Jan 1, 2027? Electric vehicle Highway Trust Fund feeKalshi88 % NoDeschisă
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that provides multi-year reauthorization and funding for federal surface transportation programs through the Highway Trust Fund and general fund appropriations become law before Jan 1, 2027? Surface transportation reauthorizationKalshi89 % NoDeschisă
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom become law before Jan 1, 2027? White House ballroom fundingKalshi92 % NoDeschisă
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that mandates expanded adoption of ADS-B “Out” aircraft tracking technology become law before Jan 1, 2027? ROTOR ActKalshi94 % NoDeschisă
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that preempts state and local autonomous vehicle laws by establishing a unified federal regulatory framework for the testing and deployment of vehicles equipped with automated driving systems become law before Jan 1, 2027? SELF DRIVE ActKalshi99 % NoDeschisă
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that would require Treasury to mint and issue $2.50 coins to mark America’s 250th anniversary become law before Jan 1, 2027?Kalshi92 % NoDeschisă
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that renames Washington Dulles International Airport after Donald Trump become law before Jan 1, 2027? Trump AirportKalshi97 % NoDeschisă
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that creates a federal civil lawsuit right for victims of intimate deepfakes become law before Jan 1, 2027? DEFIANCE ActKalshi96 % NoDeschisă
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that extends Section 181 expensing for film and television productions become law before Jan 1, 2027? Film/TV production expensingKalshi89 % NoDeschisă
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that authorizes siting the Women’s History Museum within the National Mall Reserve become law before Jan 1, 2027? Smithsonian Women’s History MuseumKalshi96 % NoDeschisă
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that establishes a federal critical-minerals reserve to mitigate supply disruptions become law before Jan 1, 2027? Critical-minerals stockpileKalshi91 % NoDeschisă
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that redefines “showerhead” for DOE rules to allow multi-nozzle systems become law before Jan 1, 2027? SHOWER ActKalshi99 % NoDeschisă
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that requires location-verification security mechanisms on certain advanced chips before export become law before Jan 1, 2027? Export-control chip securityKalshi76 % NoDeschisă
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that requires two unaffiliated networks for processing covered credit-card transactions become law before Jan 1, 2027? Credit-card routing competitionKalshi91 % NoDeschisă

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La 29 sept., 23:04 UTC