Brazil presidential election: first round winner?: Will Romeu Zema win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No100 %
Romeu Zema0 %

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Se decide4 oct. 2026peste 4 zile

Istoricul probabilităților

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Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.

Istoricul probabilităților0%25%50%75%100%7 sept.13 sept.18 sept.24 sept.30 sept.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.

Pe baza prețurilor rezultatelor posibile ale acestei piețe, exprimate ca probabilități.

Reguli de decizie

If Romeu Zema wins the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Comparabile, nu identice. Polymarket specifies ranking by valid votes, tie-breaking, TSE/credible-reporting sources, and a later fallback deadline; Kalshi publishes only the affirmative settlement condition and settles earlier. These are resolution-rule differences, not differences in the underlying event.
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    Will Zema win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?

    A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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    Brazil presidential election: first round winner?: Will Romeu Zema win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

    If Romeu Zema wins the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

    citit 29 sept., 22:16 UTC

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La 30 sept., 02:01 UTC