KalshiDeschisă

How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?: Will the number of Trump rallies be above 20 from January 1 to November 3, 2026?

Above 2089 %
No11 %

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Spread10 %
Se decide1 feb. 2027peste 4 luni

Istoricul probabilităților

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Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.

Istoricul probabilităților0%25%50%75%100%7 sept.13 sept.18 sept.24 sept.30 sept.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.

Pe baza prețurilor rezultatelor posibile ale acestei piețe, exprimate ca probabilități.

Reguli de decizie

If the number of Trump rallies is above 20 from January 1 to November 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. A Trump rally is a public, in-person political event organized around a rally-style address by Donald J. Trump, typically preceded by guest speakers, held at a large venue, and open to attendees via free registration. Examples in 2026 include the rallies on 1/27 (Clive, IA), 2/19 (Rome, GA), 2/27 (Corpus Christi, TX), 3/11 (Hebron, KY), 4/17 (Phoenix, AZ), 5/1 (The Villages, FL), and 5/22 (Suffern, NY). As of 5/27/26, the count is 7.

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La 30 sept., 04:22 UTC