Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?
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Istoricul probabilităților
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Reguli de decizie
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed. Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran. In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Celelalte variante ale acestui eveniment
O variantă citită singură induce în eroare; celelalte sunt alături.| Piață | Platformă | Preț | Stare |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by October 31? | Polymarket | 98 % No | Deschisă |
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2 comentarii
Din discuția proprie a Polymarket- Shiny-Mark · acum 2 luni
Even if all the biggest media write that he's allegedly is not in Iran, it's not a confirmation that he's not in Iran. If these rumors grow, this market will become a total shitshow and its resolution will be decided exclusively by UMA scammers in a way to maximize the scamming. Reality won't matter.
- NOIZYUV · acum 2 luni
An Israeli security source cited by the Saudi al-Hadath outlet says Iranian leader Mojtaba Khamenei “is not in Iran.”
La 2 oct., 11:41 UTC