Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
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Pe baza prețurilor rezultatelor posibile ale acestei piețe, exprimate ca probabilități.
Reguli de decizie
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
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Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
citit 1 oct., 04:26 UTC
- Polymarketaceastă piață
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
463 deținători · 21 comentarii · citit 30 sept., 21:25 UTC
Celelalte variante ale acestui eveniment
O variantă citită singură induce în eroare; celelalte sunt alături.| Piață | Platformă | Preț | Stare |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 84 % Yes | Deschisă |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | Polymarket | 58 % Yes | Deschisă |
| Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026? | Polymarket | 98 % Yes | Deschisă |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 2, 2026? | Polymarket | 95 % No | Deschisă |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 5, 2026? | Polymarket | 74 % No | Deschisă |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026? | Polymarket | 63 % No | Deschisă |
Activitatea platformei
Citit de la platformă acum 11 oreCel mai bun bid 99 % · cel mai bun ask 100 %
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25 de comentarii
Din discuția proprie a Polymarket- Everestpredictions · acum 12 ore
Gemini 4 Argon - Pump Yes!
- meower1338 · acum 12 ore
hi gemini 4 argon
- Car · acum 17 ore
welcome to another game of insider or idiot
- Gripping-Trance-Sorbet · acum 21 de ore
Insider?
- arrakis42 · acum 4 zile
Yeah that's why you have another account maxing out on No.. you want people to believe Yes so you can buy a more asymetrial No. If you were this confident why don't go all in on Yes? Why just 5 shares.
- Kelugo · acum 5 zile
It will be released on oct first
- George.Smiley · acum 9 zile
October 15 or 22nd
- hidv · acum 10 zile
Not just the 9to5google report.. it's in google's shareholder notes! Much more like November-December than October.
- Partial-Somewhere · acum 20 de zile
hirefortuna already uses models not out
- arrakis42 · acum 22 de zile
@ChefSlick Because 75% is way too high for October. This is an independent assessment site that scooped and analyzed all the available rumors online and they conclude that the model is still training and that : "Gemini 4 should launch in November or December.”. 9to5google com/2026/07/26/google-gemini-4-teases/
- arrakis42 · acum 22 de zile
This market doesnt make any sense!
- Never-KYS · luna trecută
I guess it's time boys
- Mikelious · acum 3 luni
It's coming home 17th of July lets goooo
- Mikelious · acum 3 luni
Gemini 3.5 pro just announced as "coming soon" on Google Deep Mind. Gemini 4 is inevitably going to release with it as per credible leakers.
- noniqque · acum 4 luni
we should just short google bro
- 418Imateapot · acum 5 luni
Yes.
- noniqque · acum 5 luni
are prediction markets still extremely inefficient or am I extremely dumb
- AaAbBbCcCdDdEeEFfF · acum 8 luni
Was spotted in Antigravity [link removed]
- AaAbBbCcCdDdEeEFfF · acum 8 luni
Guys they're already A/B testing Gemini 4.0 [link removed]
- George.Smiley · acum 9 luni
A hedge, probably won't pay out but 6 months is a long time
La 1 oct., 08:26 UTC