Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?
Preț verificat la
Istoricul probabilităților
Probabilități implicite ale pieței · Tot istoricul înregistratTrage pentru a muta · ciupește sau ⌘/Ctrl+derulare pentru zoom
Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.
Pe baza prețurilor rezultatelor posibile ale acestei piețe, exprimate ca probabilități.
Reguli de decizie
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface. The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Aceeași întrebare în altă parte
2 platforme o listează- Polymarketaceastă piață
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface. The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
35 deținători · 3 comentarii · citit 29 sept., 12:46 UTC
- PredictFunDeschide →
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface. The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
citit 30 sept., 14:00 UTC
Celelalte variante ale acestui eveniment
O variantă citită singură induce în eroare; celelalte sunt alături.| Piață | Platformă | Preț | Stare |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 97 % No | Deschisă |
Activitatea platformei
Citit de la platformă ieriCel mai bun bid 51 % · cel mai bun ask 52 %
Cei mai mari deținători
- IronE60963992440718239966257291606349592661926467394904164445014389969175263847534
- zhaoyk96184600436497085725079168053655740273122158662361562933000499204786209757510
- dpnd96184600436497085725079168053655740273122158662361562933000499204786209757510
- Academic-Forecast60963992440718239966257291606349592661926467394904164445014389969175263847534
- DeverNoom60963992440718239966257291606349592661926467394904164445014389969175263847534
Un instantaneu al pozițiilor, nu un istoric de performanță.
Tranzacții recente
- BUY49 %5,4 USDalaltăieri
- BUY49 %24,5 USDalaltăieri
- BUY48 %105,2 USDalaltăieri
- BUY49 %19,1 USDalaltăieri
- BUY49 %24,5 USDalaltăieri
- SELL52 %26 USDalaltăieri
Discuție pe Predxy
Ce cred cititorii Predxy despre această piață. Toți pot citi; cititorii autentificați pot scrie. Discuția platformei, dacă există, este în caseta de mai jos.Autentifică-te ca să participi la discuție.
Nimeni nu a spus încă nimic aici.
3 comentarii
Din discuția proprie a Polymarket- RandomBozo · acum 3 luni
I think it means berthing rather than docking?
- Academic-Forecast · acum 4 luni
"The two vessels must be free-flying" , "If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify." What is the purpose of including these two convoluted conditions? What does "free flight" refer to? And what on earth does "passive placement" mean? Can't they both use engines, or can they? What is the point of these two seemingly contradictory conditions? In any case, why not leave these details to the SpaceX engineers?
- RandomBozo · acum 4 luni
Barring catastrophic failure, before December 31st is likely
La 30 sept., 16:53 UTC