Russia coup attempt in 2026?
Preț verificat la
Istoricul probabilităților
Probabilități implicite ale pieței · Tot istoricul înregistratTrage pentru a muta · ciupește sau ⌘/Ctrl+derulare pentru zoom
Perioadele umbrite nu au o verificare orară reușită a prețurilor.
Pe baza prețurilor rezultatelor posibile ale acestei piețe, exprimate ca probabilități.
Reguli de decizie
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify. Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Activitatea platformei
Citit de la platformă acum 23 de oreCel mai bun bid 95 % · cel mai bun ask 96 %
Cei mai mari deținători
- DEGENKHAN113450008327520733608688774741559555254780901127889067621861699374704317480852
- bazooka1113450008327520733608688774741559555254780901127889067621861699374704317480852
- your-urologist86983577620240275452982436445389291220690415762147999463562570569541771913709
- Guilty-Selling86983577620240275452982436445389291220690415762147999463562570569541771913709
- ANGGGuess113450008327520733608688774741559555254780901127889067621861699374704317480852
Un instantaneu al pozițiilor, nu un istoric de performanță.
Tranzacții recente
- SELL95 %1 USDieri
- BUY5 %15 USDacum 4 zile
- BUY5 %1,4 USDacum 4 zile
- BUY5 %32 USDacum 4 zile
- SELL94 %91,3 USDacum 10 zile
- BUY96 %2,4 USDacum 11 zile
Discuție pe Predxy
Ce cred cititorii Predxy despre această piață. Toți pot citi; cititorii autentificați pot scrie. Discuția platformei, dacă există, este în caseta de mai jos.Autentifică-te ca să participi la discuție.
Nimeni nu a spus încă nimic aici.
7 comentarii
Din discuția proprie a Polymarket- Datsenko · luna trecută
True, Orc land is doomed. putin is just sitting in a hole, and slaughtering him is the best course of action
- Datsenko · luna trecută
Nope, as it is already happened in 2023 and might happen again 1-2 times before any ceasefire
- Nicksha077 · acum 2 luni
wiil not
- Energetic-Revitalization · acum 2 luni
your blind faith has already cost you 6.5 thousand. Spend this money on medical care.
- ZnotluvuiSamez · acum 3 luni
🦩🔥🍿
- Shrill-Racer · acum 4 luni
Tick tock. Crimea is going to be starving and have no gas. There will be a uprising starting there.
- Devoted-Route · acum 5 luni
As likely as a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire.
La 29 sept., 22:40 UTC